Gold has started a consolidation, which may be confined in the range of $1,769-$1,805. The downtrend is expected to resume upon the completion of this consolidation.
The exact move on Thursday remains unclear. The contract may open lower and retreat towards 3,521 ringgit or open high but close below 3,634 ringgit. A consolidation around 3,634 ringgit is highly anticipated.
Palm oil is expected to retest this strong barrier. However, it may fail again and start a much shallower correction than the former one from 3,631 ringgit.
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Regardless of the wave structure, the rally looks full of momentum. Support is at 3,673 ringgit, a break below which could cause a fall into a range of 3,545-3,624 ringgit.
On the daily chart, palm oil has cleared a resistance at 3,606 ringgit, the 23.6% retracement on the uptrend from 2,691 ringgit to 3,888 ringgit. It is likely to gain more to 3,713 ringgit.
On the daily chart, a retracement analysis on the uptrend from 2,691 ringgit to 3,888 ringgit reveals a similar resistance at 3,606 ringgit, the 23.6% level.