NEW YORK: The dollar rose against a basket of currencies on Thursday after data showed the US economy grew at its fastest pace in nearly two years in the third quarter, once again defying dire warnings of a recession that have lingered since 2022.
Gross domestic product increased at a 4.9% annualized rate last quarter, the fastest since the fourth quarter of 2021, the Commerce Department’s Bureau of Economic Analysis said in its advance estimate of third-quarter GDP growth. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast GDP rising at a 4.3% rate.
The dollar index, which measures its strength against a basket of six rivals, was 0.2% higher at 106.78, its highest in nearly three weeks.
“It is reinforcing the message that the US is sort of hanging in there on the economic side and inflation is also remaining somewhat stubborn,” said Brad Bechtel, global head of FX at Jefferies in New York.
“At the margin, that helps the dollar,” Bechtel said.
The GDP numbers follow business activity data earlier this week that highlighted the strength of the US economy relative to the United Kingdom and the European Union.
“While the market does not expect a rate hike at next week’s Fed meeting, there are concerns that the Fed may suggest that they may need to increase rates again before the end of the year if inflation doesn’t ease at a faster pace, and if the economy continues to defy expectations of a slow-down that would quell consumer spending,” Quincy Krosby, chief global strategist for LPL Financial, said in a note.
Meanwhile, the European Central Bank left interest rates unchanged as expected on Thursday, snapping an unprecedented streak of 10 consecutive rate hikes while insisting that any talk of rate cuts was premature.
“The statement is very similar to the one in September. Obviously, they had to acknowledge the fact that inflation dropped, which was also what they expected, but ultimately they are still trying to hang on to some sort of hawkish bias saying that inflation remains too high,” said Francesco Pesole, FX strategist at ING in London.
The euro was 0.27% lower at $1.0538.
The Japanese yen weakened to hit a fresh one-year low of 150.78 per dollar and was not far off the 32-year low of 151.94 it touched in October last year, which led to Japanese authorities intervening in the currency market.
Japanese Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki earlier warned traders against selling the yen again, saying authorities were closely watching moves. He made no direct comment about the potential for intervention.
A recent surge in global interest rates is heightening pressure on the Bank of Japan to change its bond yield control next week.
In cryptocurrencies, bitcoin was down 0.8% at $34,240. The world’s largest cryptocurrency has surged 14% this week on speculation that an exchange-traded bitcoin fund is imminent.
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