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Business & Finance Print 2023-09-11

Dollar flat, but on track for eight straight weeks of gains

NEW YORK: The dollar was little changed on Friday, consolidating gains amassed during the week on...
Published September 11, 2023

NEW YORK: The dollar was little changed on Friday, consolidating gains amassed during the week on better-than-expected US economic data, even as the currency’s underlying strong trend remained amid stable consumer and labor markets, which have kept the prospect of another rate increase on the table this year.

Despite Friday’s pullback, the dollar index was headed for eight straight weeks of gains, the longest such streak since 2014.

“This week the market has been a little more nervy than usual on a number of fronts and that has lent to dollar strength,” said Amo Sahota, director of FX at consulting firm Klarity FX in San Francisco.

There was also the narrative, he noted, that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates higher for longer as the battle for inflation is still playing out.

“There’s a lot of reasoning to ask whether dollar strength is going too far.” Sahota said. “That may be, but in an environment where things could get nervy, the dollar always looks attractive,” because of its yield advantage over other currencies due to the spate of Fed rate increases.

In afternoon trading, the dollar index, which measures the greenback against six major peers, was flat at 105.05. It hit a six-month peak of 105.15 the previous session. The index so far this week was up 0.7%.

That said, Vassili Serebriakov, FX strategist, at UBS in New York, said while eight weeks are an unusually long stretch of dollar strength, the currency’s gains are getting smaller every week.

“The market is quite long dollars already and the incremental upside has been small. So I think the market is having a hard time pushing the dollar significantly higher.”

Sterling moved away from Thursday’s three-month low and last bought at $1.2459, down 0.1%, and set to clock a weekly loss of 1%.

The Canadian dollar firmed against the greenback after Canada created 39,900 jobs last month, compared with a median forecast for a gain of 15,000. The unemployment rate remained at 5.5%. The US dollar was last down 0.3% versus the Canadian currency at C$1.3642.

The onshore Chinese yuan touched its weakest level against the dollar since December 2007 at 7.3510, while its offshore counterpart sank to a 10-month low of 7.3665 per dollar.

China’s currency has depreciated steadily since February as the faltering post-pandemic economic recovery and widening yield gap with other economies, particularly the United States, affected capital flows and trade.

The struggling yen was also in focus. The Japanese unit was last down 0.3% at 147.6 per dollar and on the weaker side of the key 145-level that prompted Japan intervention last year.

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