Wall Street’s main indexes were set to open higher on Wednesday, helped by bets that the Federal Reserve had reached the end of its rate hikes and a slide in longer-dated Treasury yields, while traders assessed the latest batch of economic data.
U.S. equities have bounced back in November, with the S&P 500 coming within a whisker of its highest level this year, as signs of easing inflation boosted bets that the Fed was done with its interest rate hikes.
The benchmark index and the tech-heavy Nasdaq, however, snapped a five-session winning streak on Tuesday after minutes from the latest Fed meeting showing policymakers’ cautious approach towards monetary policy weighed on optimism around the prospects of a rate cut early next year.
Data showed initial jobless claims stood at 209,000 for the week ended Nov. 18, lower than the 226,000 claims forecast in a Reuters poll of economists. Meanwhile, durable goods posted a bigger-than-expected drop of 5.4% in October.
The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note slipped to 4.3906%.
A fall in energy prices and the ten-year yield are helping drive markets higher, said Art Hogan, chief market strategist at B Riley Wealth.
““We’ve already started to see (a year end-rally). The three headwinds were higher energy prices, higher Treasury yields and a stronger dollar and for the last three weeks, all of those headwinds now become tailwinds,” said Hogan.
Traders have nearly fully priced in the likelihood of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in December, with about 31% betting on chances of a rate cut as soon as March, according to the CME Group’s Fedwatch tool.
Nvidia, the last of the megacap names to report quarterly results,
forecast overall revenue above Wall Street targets, but warned U.S. export curbs could lead to a steep drop in fourth-quarter sales in China.
Shares of the AI chip leader had initially slipped in premarket trading, but were last up 0.5%.
Sam Altman restored as OpenAI CEO after his tumultuous ouster
Investors also had an eye on the latest turn of events at OpenAI after the ChatGPT maker reached an agreement for Sam Altman to return as CEO days after his ouster. Shares of the startup’s financial backer Microsoft rose 1.3%.
Light trading volumes also impacted market moves ahead of the Thanksgiving holiday on Thursday.
A final reading of the University of Michigan’s consumer sentiment index for November is due later in the day.
At 8:57 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 51 points, or 0.15%, S&P 500 e-minis were up 15 points, or 0.33%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 79 points, or 0.49%.
Among other major movers, Deere & Co shed 5.8% before the bell after the farm equipment maker forecast 2024 profit below analysts’ estimates as high borrowing costs and squeezed budgets dented demand. Peer Caterpillar also fell 2.7%.
Autodesk slipped 6.1% as brokerages cut their price targets on the design software maker’s stock following a weak long-term growth outlook.
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