Dalian iron ore futures climbed to a 10-month high on Monday, as shrinking stocks of the steelmaking ingredient at Chinese ports added fuel to a rally spurred by optimism around demand in the world’s top steel producer.
Coking coal, another steelmaking input, also extended gains to hit a six-week peak following a flurry of recent news about China’s resolve to stimulate its slowing economy and moves to ease its COVID-19 restrictions.
Benchmark September iron ore on China’s Dalian Commodity Exchange rose as much as 3.2% to 948 yuan ($142.57) a tonne, its loftiest since the first week of August.
On the Singapore Exchange, the most-traded July contract advanced 1.7% to $145.05 a tonne before retreating modestly. Dalian coking coal rallied as much as 5.2%, while coke jumped 2.8%.
“Fundamentals look relatively strong,” said Atilla Widnell, managing director at Navigate Commodities in Singapore, citing slower arrivals of imported iron ore in China and a week-on-week decline of 1.1 million tonnes in Australian and Brazilian shipments.
China iron ore futures extend gains on demand hopes
“Slower arrivals and a continuation of robust blast furnace capacity utilisation rates and daily offtakes should result in portside iron ore inventories depleting by a further 2.0-3.0 million tonnes this week.”
Portside iron ore inventory in China shrank to 132 million tonnes last week, the lowest since late September, SteelHome consultancy data showed.
Benchmark 62%-grade iron ore’s spot price for the China-bound material stood at $142.50 a tonne on June 2, boosting its 2022 gains to 23%, according to SteelHome data.
With COVID-19 cases falling in Beijing, the Chinese capital will further relax curbs by allowing indoor dining. “If China can sustain this level of ‘openness’, we anticipate this will release pent-up and ravenous national steel demand,” Widnell said.
Construction steel rebar on the Shanghai Futures Exchange gained 1.2%, hot-rolled coil added 1%, and stainless steel rose 0.9%.
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