World shares at one-month low, default fears stalk China Evergrande

  • European stocks were 1.8% lower, slipping to two-month lows, with energy and mining stocks tumbling as the dollar's jump to near four-week highs crushed commodity prices
Published September 20, 2021

World shares skidded and the dollar firmed on Monday ahead of a week packed with global central bank meetings, while debt troubles at property group China Evergrande dragged Hong Kong stocks towards to a one-year low.

European stocks were 1.8% lower, slipping to two-month lows, with energy and mining stocks tumbling as the dollar's jump to near four-week highs crushed commodity prices.

Holidays in Japan, China and South Korea meant trading was thin in Asia, while politics added extra uncertainty with elections in Canada and Germany bookending the week.

Shares in China Evergrande plummeted 12% after earlier losing as much as 19% to more than 11-year lows. The company's listed units also fell, as investors worried about the real estate developer's ability to repay a small portion of its $305 billion debt due this Thursday.

Evergrande's troubles added to growing concerns about the health of China's economy after Beijing's recent crackdown on tech firms. The Hang Seng index shed 3.5%, while Singapore-traded FTSE China futures fell 3%.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan slid 1.7% to its lowest since August 24, with Australia stocks, in their worst session in nearly seven months, slumping 2.1%.

The MSCI All Country World Index lost 0.5%, close to a one-month low and down further from record highs hit earlier this month.

Deutsche Bank's Jim Reid wrote in a research note it was confusing when equity markets were within a couple of percent or so of their record highs when the biggest dollar Asian high yield company Evergrande, with $300bn of liabilities, was on the brink.

"With no-one really aware of how the work-out will be managed and whether they'll be contagion," Reid said. Dow Jones futures were down 1.3% and S&P 500 futures declined 1%, after all three Wall Street indexes marked weekly losses on Friday after days of turbulence.

The Fed is still expected to lay the groundwork for a tapering at its policy meeting on Tuesday and Wednesday, though the consensus is for an actual announcement to be delayed until the November or December meetings.

Yields on 10-year Treasuries were last at 1.3498%, edging away from a two-month top and the curve flattened ahead of the meeting.

The two-year yield, which rises with traders' expectations of higher Fed fund rates, touched its highest since Aug. 27.

"A flatter yield curve suggests some fears the Fed may overdo the eventual hiking cycle," said Tapas Strickland, a director of economics at NAB.

He noted only 2-3 FOMC members would need to shift their "dot plot" forecasts for a hike in 2022 to make it the median, given seven of 18 had already tipped a move next year.

Germany's 10-year yield, the benchmark for the euro zone, was down more than a basis point to -0.295%, holding below the 10-week high touched on Friday after a report suggested the European Central Bank (ECB) expects to hit its inflation target by 2025.

ECB board member Isabel Schnabel is due to give a speech at 1135 GMT on Monday.

Investors were also keeping an eye on a dozen other central bank meetings in Japan, Indonesia, the Philippines, Taiwan, the UK, Switzerland, Sweden, Norway, Brazil, South Africa, Turkey and Hungary.

The Norges Bank is expected to become the first G10 central bank to lift rates on Thursday.

Lofty US yields and general risk aversion in the markets sent the dollar to a four-week high against a basket of rival currencies. The US dollar index was last at 93.363.

It was range bound on the yen at 109.88, while the euro was at its lowest in three-weeks at $1.1710 due to uncertainty ahead of Germany's election.

The offshore Chinese yuan skidded to three-week lows, falling to 6.4698 yuan per dollar - its lowest since August 31. Canada goes to the polls on Monday with the race too close to call.

Crude oil prices also took a hit from energy companies in the US Gulf of Mexico resuming production after back-to-back hurricanes in the region shut output.

Brent fell 0.9% to $74.65 a barrel, while US crude lost 1.2% to $71.12.


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