AGL 8.30 Increased By ▲ 0.44 (5.6%)
ANL 10.59 Increased By ▲ 0.24 (2.32%)
AVN 78.60 Increased By ▲ 0.70 (0.9%)
BOP 5.45 Increased By ▲ 0.06 (1.11%)
CNERGY 5.59 Increased By ▲ 0.58 (11.58%)
EFERT 80.25 Decreased By ▼ -0.55 (-0.68%)
EPCL 69.60 Increased By ▲ 1.50 (2.2%)
FCCL 15.30 Increased By ▲ 0.74 (5.08%)
FFL 6.53 Increased By ▲ 0.33 (5.32%)
FLYNG 7.18 Increased By ▲ 0.53 (7.97%)
GGGL 10.85 Increased By ▲ 0.27 (2.55%)
GGL 16.79 Increased By ▲ 0.38 (2.32%)
GTECH 8.14 Increased By ▲ 0.02 (0.25%)
HUMNL 7.04 Increased By ▲ 0.02 (0.28%)
KEL 2.99 Increased By ▲ 0.11 (3.82%)
LOTCHEM 30.77 Increased By ▲ 2.24 (7.85%)
MLCF 28.98 Increased By ▲ 2.03 (7.53%)
OGDC 82.75 Increased By ▲ 0.60 (0.73%)
PAEL 16.97 Increased By ▲ 0.32 (1.92%)
PIBTL 6.08 Increased By ▲ 0.24 (4.11%)
PRL 18.10 Increased By ▲ 1.35 (8.06%)
SILK 1.15 Increased By ▲ 0.05 (4.55%)
TELE 11.25 Increased By ▲ 0.28 (2.55%)
TPL 9.20 Decreased By ▼ -0.02 (-0.22%)
TPLP 19.88 Increased By ▲ 0.22 (1.12%)
TREET 26.46 Increased By ▲ 0.55 (2.12%)
TRG 94.60 Increased By ▲ 0.99 (1.06%)
UNITY 19.50 Increased By ▲ 0.50 (2.63%)
WAVES 14.34 Increased By ▲ 0.78 (5.75%)
WTL 1.30 Increased By ▲ 0.06 (4.84%)
BR100 4,187 Increased By 80.1 (1.95%)
BR30 15,474 Increased By 343.5 (2.27%)
KSE100 42,096 Increased By 670.9 (1.62%)
KSE30 15,883 Increased By 222.7 (1.42%)
Business & Finance

ECB lifts growth, inflation projections, sees risks as balanced

  • Inflation is now seen averaging 1.9% this year, above the 1.5% projected in March, while in 2022 it is seen at 1.5%, against an earlier projection for 1.2%.
Published June 10, 2021

FRANKFURT: The European Central Bank raised its growth and inflation projections for this year and next on Thursday as the euro zone economy started to roar back to life after more than a year of restrictions to curb the coronavirus pandemic.

ECB President Christine Lagarde also said the ECB saw risks to growth as "broadly balanced", a shift away from the ECB's long standing assessment of risks as tilted to the downside.

In what it describes as the baseline scenario, the ECB expects GDP to expand by 4.6% this year, above the 4% seen in March, while growth next year is seen at 4.7% against the ECB's previous 4.1% projection.

Its inflation forecast for this year was raised sharply, mostly because of higher commodity prices, but consumer price growth beyond 2021 is seen remaining well short of the ECB's almost 2% target, the fresh figures show.

Inflation is now seen averaging 1.9% this year, above the 1.5% projected in March, while in 2022 it is seen at 1.5%, against an earlier projection for 1.2%.

Lagarde said underlying inflation was expected to increase gradually but that price pressures would remain subdued and slack in the economy would keep inflation below the ECB's target of just under 2% through 2023.

She said the ECB expected economic activity to accelerate in the second half of 2021 but that the course of the pandemic and responses to it would continue to dictate the pace. Inflation would rise further in H2 before falling back as transitory factors fade, Lagarde added.

The following are the ECB's quarterly growth and inflation projections through 2023. Figures in brackets are the ECB's previous forecasts from March.

The ECB targets inflation "below, but close to, 2%".

Comments

Comments are closed.