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Asian prices fall amid record high US exports

  • The average LNG price for December delivery into Northeast Asia was estimated at around $6.80-$6.90 per million British thermal units (mmBtu).
  • Asian LNG prices have more than tripled since July's low of $2.00, and bullish sentiment deepened in September and October due to a wave of supply disruptions.
Published November 13, 2020

RIO DE JANEIRO: Asian spot prices for liquefied natural gas (LNG) fell for a second week running this week, amid weak Chinese demand, record high US exports and better production expectations in Malaysia.

The average LNG price for December delivery into Northeast Asia was estimated at around $6.80-$6.90 per million British thermal units (mmBtu), down $0.70-$0.60 from the previous week.

Asian LNG prices have more than tripled since July's low of $2.00, and bullish sentiment deepened in September and October due to a wave of supply disruptions.

Loadings of LNG cargoes had been delayed in the past weeks from Malaysia's Bintulu plant, operated by Petronas, but the issues proved to be temporary and shipments are expected to be normalized soon, sources said.

LNG has been facing both supply and demand disruptions due to the COVID-19 crisis.

Possible LNG supply shortages that could sustain prices remain in Australia, where Chevron Corp's Gorgon LNG plant has been facing production issues, and in the US

The election of Joe Biden in the US presidential run last weekend raised expectations of a possible contraction in shale gas incentives. An eventual slowdown in production recovery in the United States as demands heats up could restrict supply and pressure prices, traders said.

US natural gas futures edged up on Friday as exports continued to hit fresh record highs and on forecasts for cooler weather and more heating demand in coming weeks.

Much of that US supply will be directed towards Asian markets.

"Ongoing congestion in the Panama Canal is resulting in some US exports being sent the long way - via the Suez Canal and Cape of Good Hope - to Northeast Asian markets," said analysts at Energy Aspects.

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