LONDON: Copper prices edged lower on Thursday as an accelerating wave of coronavirus infections in China, the biggest consumer, eroded demand.
Benchmark copper on the London Metal Exchange (LME) was down 0.4% at $8,363.50 a tonne at 1100 GMT.
Prices rose sharply in November as China began dismantling its economically damaging zero-COVID policy. But while this may boost demand in the longer term, it has allowed the virus to sweep through the country, disrupting business.
A Shanghai hospital told its staff on Thursday to prepare for a “tragic battle” as half of the city’s 25 million people will likely get infected by the end of next week.
“The relaxation of China’s zero-COVID-19 restrictions has lifted the market mood much more than it will lift demand,” said Julius Baer analyst Carsten Menke.
Measures to support China’s slumped property market are unlikely to lead to rapid recovery and growth in other countries will not be strong enough to compensate for China’s weakness, he said.
Falling inventories boost aluminium but surpluses lie ahead
“2023 will be another cyclically challenging year for copper and industrial metals more broadly … That said, the structural outlook remains bright, as copper is set to join the energy-transition-driven battery-metals super cycle. Short-term setbacks should be seen as longer-term buying opportunities.”
Copper is used in electric wiring. Slowing economic growth has pulled prices down 14% this year.
In a sign of slack demand, Chinese Yangshan copper import premiums fell to $40 a tonne from around $145 in early November.
However, copper inventories in Chinese bonded and Shanghai Futures Exchange warehouses are very low compared to typical levels, offering little buffer for when demand rises.
LME aluminium was down 0.3% at $2,384 a tonne, zinc fell 0.9% to $2,984, nickel slipped 3.6% to $28,520 and tin was 0.9% lower at $23,855.
Lead was the lone riser, up 1.6% at $2,248 a tonne.
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