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Markets

Yuan firms as US, China leaders’ dialogue eases economic concerns

Published November 15, 2022 Updated November 15, 2022 10:35am
Photo: REUTERS
Photo: REUTERS
By

HONG KONG: China’s yuan firmed on Tuesday, as investors cheered the easing of tensions in strained US-China relations after a meeting of the heads of the world’s top two economies on the sidelines of the G20 Summit.

It also helped to temper broader concerns about a stuttering Chinese economyunderscoreded by fresh data released earlier in the day, and kept the yuan on track to extend gains for the fourth day against the greenback.

The People’s Bank of China set the midpoint rate at 7.0421 per dollar prior to market open, firmer than the previous fix 7.0899.

The spot market opened at 7.0400 per dollar and was changing hands at 7.0506 at midday, 204 pips firmer than the previous late session close and 0.12% softer from the midpoint. The spot rate is currently allowed to trade with a range 2 percent above or below the official fixing on any given day.

“The meeting between Chinese President Xi Jinping and US President Joe Biden at the side of the G20 Summit cooled cold war fears,” DBS senior FX strategist Philip Wee and senior economist Radhika Rao wrote in a client note.

At the sidelines of the G20 Summit in Bali, Indonesia, both Xi and Biden pledged more frequent communications and agreed that US Secretary of State Anthony Blinken will travel to Beijing for follow-up talks.

Yuan hits 7-week high after China eases some stringent COVID curbs

China and the United States have clashed over a range of issues, spanning trade, technology and Taiwan, which Beijing considers its own territory.

“With communication channels restarted, this should be taken as a positive outcome for the meeting,” said Maybank analyst Saktiandi Supaat.

Back home, however, a raft of weak Chinese data released earlier, including factory output, retail sales and property investment highlighted the challenges for policymakers.

The gloomy data capped gains in the onshore yuan, which rose to a near two-month high against the dollar Monday, bolstered by Beijing’s move to help the embattled property sector and ease some of the country’s strict COVID-19 containment measures.

“The weakening China hard data for October poured cold water on buoyant sentiment driven by the pivots on the COVID and property policies,” said Ken Cheung, chief Asian FX strategist at Mizuho Bank.

The offshore yuan was trading 0.02 percent away from the onshore spot at 7.049 per dollar.

Offshore one-year non-deliverable forwards contracts (NDFs), considered the best available proxy for forward-looking market expectations of the yuan’s value, traded at 6.877, 2.40 percent away from the midpoint.

One-year NDFs are settled against the midpoint, not the spot rate.

The global dollar index rose to 106.975 from the previous close of 106.66.

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