That put the contract down about 2% from where the August future closed on Wednesday when it was still the front month and on track for its lowest settle since July 21
Front-month gas futures rose 16 cents, or 5.4%, to $3.121 per million British thermal units (mmBtu) .
Data provider Refinitiv said gas output in the Lower 48 US states averaged 90.9 billion cubic feet per day (bcfd) so far in May, up from 90.6 bcfd in April, but still well below November 2019's monthly record of 95.4 bcfd.
The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) said US utilities added 61 billion cubic feet (bcf) of gas into storage during the week ended April 9.
That is lower than the 67-bcf build analysts forecast in a Reuters poll and compares with an increase of 68 bcf in the same week last year and a five-year (2016-2020) average increase of 26 bcf.
Traders also noted that mild weather this week will likely cause utilities to boost injections into storage by so much that the total amount of gas in inventory will rise above the five-year (2016-2020) average for the first time since the February freeze.
Front-month gas futures rose 1.9 cents, or 0.8%, to $2.541 per million British thermal units.
Front-month gas futures fell 7 cents, or 2.7%, to $2.569 per million British thermal units.
After utilities started injecting gas into storage in late March, which was earlier than usual, speculators cut their net long positions on the New York Mercantile (NYMEX) and Intercontinental Exchanges for a sixth time in a row last week to their lowest since July 2020.
That small decline comes ahead of a federal report expected to show last week's storage draw was smaller than usual and could be the last withdrawal of the 2020-2021 winter heating season.
Front-month gas futures fell 2.3 cents, or 0.9%, to $2.495 per million British thermal units (mmBtu).
If correct, last week's decrease would cut stockpiles to 1.776 trillion cubic feet (tcf), which would be 5.3% below the five-year average of 1.875 tcf for this time of year.
Front-month gas futures fell 3 cents, or 1.2%, to $2.498 per million British thermal units.
That small price decline came despite record liquefied natural gas (LNG) exports and forecasts for colder weather and higher than previously expected heating demand this week.
The amount of gas flowing to US LNG export plants, meanwhile, has averaged 10.4 bcfd so far in March.
Traders, however, noted the weather is expected to turn slightly cooler in mid March, which should boost heating demand a bit during the week of March 14 over the week of March 7.
Front-month gas futures fell 0.8 cents, or 0.3%, to $2.738 per million British thermal units.
If correct, last week's decrease would cut stockpiles to 1.807 trillion cubic feet (tcf), which would be 10.7% below the five-year average of 2.023 tcf for this time of year.
Front-month gas futures fell 3 cents, or 1.1%, to $2.786 per million British thermal units.
Front-month gas futures rose 2.8 cents, or 1.0%, to $2.867 per million British thermal units.3
Refinitiv projected average gas demand, including exports, would drop from 112.2 bcfd this week to 105.0 bcfd next week as the weather turns seasonally milder.
For the month, futures ADV was 575,167 contracts, down 9.1% from a year ago. Futures ADV hit a monthly record of 677,112 contracts in November 2018.
Year to date, futures ADV was 496,290, down 15.3% from the same period a year earlier. That, however, keeps futures ADV on track to top the annual record of 477,468 contracts in 2020.
Front-month gas futures fell 4.8 cents, or 1.7%, to $2.729 per million British thermal units.
For the week, the contract was down almost 12% after rising around 5% last week. For the month, however, it was still up about 6% after gaining 1% in January.
Prices were also supported as US pipeline gas exports to Mexico rose to 5.1 bcf on Friday after dropping to a 13-month low of 3.8 bcf per day on Tuesday, Refinitiv Eikon data showed.
Even though we will see some warmer temperatures... there's still expectations that the loss in production is going to haunt us as we get into summer.
Data provider Refinitiv estimated 425 heating degree days (HDDs) over the next two weeks in the Lower 48 US states, slightly down from Monday's forecast of 449 HDDs.
Data provider Refinitiv projected output in the Lower 48 to average 82.5 billion cubic feet per day (bcfd) this week and increase to 84.2 bcfd next week.