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Brent oil may break $78.30 and fall towards $76.45

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Brent oil may test a support at $78.30 per barrel, with a good chance of breaking below this level and falling to $76.45. The drop is still well controlled by a set of projection levels on the downtrend from $96.95.

This projection analysis suggests a target of $76.45. Another projection analysis on a wave C from $88.44 reveals a similar target of $76.73.

This wave is capable of travelling to a much lower level of $69.49.

Resistance is at $80.15, a break above which may lead to a gain into $81.29-$82.35 range.

On the daily chart, oil is poised to test a support of $77.56, which is jointly provided by the 114.6% projection level of a wave (C) and the 50% retracement on the uptrend from $15.98 to $139.13.

Brent oil may bounce into $84.16-$85.26 range before falling

Despite the current strong bearish momentum, it is hard to tell if oil could succeed in breaking $77.56 at its first attempt.

Most likely, a consolidation or bounce would occur around this level.

A break could confirm a target zone of $67.75-$73.82.

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