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US Treasury bonds

In dire straits

In dire straits

Published 23 Mar, 2026 05:24am
America is midway through the fourth week of a war that shows no signs of stopping. The Strait of Hormuz remains...
Not your garden-variety FX wobble

Not your garden-variety FX wobble

Published 17 Apr, 2025 06:15am
King Dollar’s crown has weathered countless storms – but the recent market whirlwind has people asking if this...
Yield curve flattens as Fed seen more proactive on inflation

Yield curve flattens as Fed seen more proactive on inflation

Updated 18 Jun, 2021 07:12pm
  • The Fed surprised markets on Wednesday when it said that policymakers are forecasting two interest rate hikes in 2023.
  • Two-year yields jumped to 0.254%, the highest since April 2020. Five-year yields increased to 0.928%, the highest since April 6.
Yields drift lower as latest views from Fed awaited

Yields drift lower as latest views from Fed awaited

Published 16 Jun, 2021 07:58pm
  • The benchmark 10-year yield was last down 1 basis point at 1.4888%.
  • "Truly, to getting a read on where the economy is heading and where inflation is heading, we don't think we're going to have those data points until the fall," he said.
Yields rise from three-month lows before Fed meeting

Yields rise from three-month lows before Fed meeting

Published 14 Jun, 2021 07:29pm
  • The Fed is not expected to announce any plans to pare its bond purchases until its August Jackson Hole economic symposium, though it may start dropping hints that it has started to talk about a taper.
  • "This rally in rates seems very counterintuitive. I still haven't found a very strong case besides perhaps the offset of positioning, people are getting out of trades ahead of the FOMC," Rajappa said.
Surprisingly weak April jobs report pushes yields lower

Surprisingly weak April jobs report pushes yields lower

Published 07 May, 2021 08:35pm
  • The benchmark 10-year yield, which dropped to 1.469%, the lowest since March 4, was last down 1.6 basis points at 1.5452%, holding below a 14-month high of 1.776% reached on March 30.
  • The 30-year yield tumbled to its lowest level since March 1 at 2.158%. It was last up less than a basis point at 2.2449%.
US bond derivatives signal calm, but economic fundamentals could spur more sell-offs

US bond derivatives signal calm, but economic fundamentals could spur more sell-offs

Published 02 Mar, 2021 09:19pm
  • "The selloff may have run its course," said Jabaz Mathai, head of US rates strategy at Citi, pointing to inflation breakevens backing down.
  • "I would not say the bear market in Treasuries is over at this point, but there is the prospect of a near-term pullback," said Mathai. "You should see some stability in the 10-year around these levels."
US yields soften after vaulting to one-year highs; sentiment wary

US yields soften after vaulting to one-year highs; sentiment wary

Published 26 Feb, 2021 08:44pm
  • The benchmark 10-year US Treasury note's yield was down 5.2 basis points at 1.4633%. On Thursday it touched 1.614%, the highest in a year, rocking world markets.
  • Part of Friday's decline could also reflect dealers convincing clients to buy bonds after poor demand for a 7-year note auction on Thursday.
Inflation bets send yields up to new milestone

Inflation bets send yields up to new milestone

Published 25 Feb, 2021 08:58pm
  • The 10-year yield was up 6.9 basis points at 1.4578% and reached as high as 1.468%, the highest in a year.
  • "It's starting to become a momentum trade and the sell-off is becoming a global phenomenon," said Subadra Rajappa, head of US rates strategy at Societe Generale.
Traders push yields higher as inflation concerns linger

Traders push yields higher as inflation concerns linger

Published 24 Feb, 2021 09:09pm
  • The benchmark 10-year yield was up 4.1 basis points at 1.4046% in morning trading, its first time above 1.4% since a year ago, and reached as high as 1.435%
  • Patrick Leary, chief market strategist and senior trader at Incapital, said the trading could also be a sign of investor skepticism about Powell's reassurance.
US 10-year Treasury yields top 1.25pc for first time in 11 months

US 10-year Treasury yields top 1.25pc for first time in 11 months

Published 16 Feb, 2021 07:48pm
  • US 10-year Treasury yields topped the 1.25% mark for the first time since March last year, rising 6.3 basis points to 1.2635% in early American trade.
  • Long-dated 30-year yields rose even further, and were up 7 bps at 2.0759% at 1159 GMT.
Yields rise after weak auction, as fiscal stimulus seen near

Yields rise after weak auction, as fiscal stimulus seen near

Published 12 Feb, 2021 09:11pm
  • The Treasury saw soft demand for $27 billion in 30-year bonds, its final sale of $126 billion in coupon-bearing supply this week.
  • Our base case view is for a $1 trillion package, but I think market expectations are gravitating towards something much larger.
Yields hold at lower levels as reflation trade loses steam

Yields hold at lower levels as reflation trade loses steam

Published 11 Feb, 2021 09:11pm
  • Yields dropped on Wednesday after data showed that the core consumer price index, which excludes the volatile food and energy components.
  • Lederer added that he does expect yields to rise later this year as COVID-19 vaccines are rolled out and the economy returns to more normal conditions.
Yields tumble as inflation data misses expectations

Yields tumble as inflation data misses expectations

Published 10 Feb, 2021 09:33pm
  • Core CPI was also unchanged in the month, compared to economist's expectations of a 0.2% increase.
  • It's disappointing in respect to the view of inflation that has been developing for the last few months.
US 10-yr yield rises to 1.2pc, inflation expectations build

US 10-yr yield rises to 1.2pc, inflation expectations build

Published 08 Feb, 2021 05:54pm
  • The $1.9 trillion stimulus package looks likely to be approved by Congress, bypassing Republican roadblocks.
  • Ten-year borrowing costs extended their rise to the highest since last March at 1.2%, while 30-year yields touched 2% for the first time since mid-February 2020 .
Longer-term yields higher in volatile session after jobs report

Longer-term yields higher in volatile session after jobs report

Published 05 Feb, 2021 08:47pm
  • The benchmark 10-year yield was up 1.4 basis points at 1.1532% in morning trading after it reached as high as 1.188%, its highest since March 20, 2020.
  • US employment growth rebounded less than expected in January and job losses the prior month were deeper than initially thought.
Yield curve steepens on Washington spending plans, jobs data

Yield curve steepens on Washington spending plans, jobs data

Published 04 Feb, 2021 09:23pm
  • The benchmark 10-year yield was up 1.5 basis points in morning trading at 1.1461% and at one point reached 1.16%, its highest since Jan. 12.
  • Both factors pointed to improving economic growth, which makes ultra-safe Treasuries less attractive to investors.
US 10-year yield skids to three-week low on nagging virus woes

US 10-year yield skids to three-week low on nagging virus woes

Published 25 Jan, 2021 09:41pm
  • Yields on other long-dated Treasury maturities were also lower, with those on 30-year and 20-year bonds falling to two-week troughs.
  • Tom di Galoma, managing director at Seaport Global in New York, said the rally in Treasuries extended after Merck pulled out of its COVID vaccine plan.
Longer-term yields rise after weak US jobs report

Longer-term yields rise after weak US jobs report

Published 08 Jan, 2021 08:57pm
  • Nonfarm payrolls decreased by 140,000 jobs last month amid growing COVID-19 cases, marking the first decline since April.
  • Longer-term yields have been climbing all week as Democrats won control of the US Senate as a result of Georgia runoff elections.
Yields drop, curve flattens after bumper 30-year auction

Yields drop, curve flattens after bumper 30-year auction

Published 11 Dec, 2020 02:36am
  • Primary dealers, who are responsible for absorbing the supply not sold to direct and indirect bidders at auction.
  • The drop in longer-dated yields pulled the yield curve flatter with the spread between the two- and 10-year yields last down about 2 basis points to 76.6 basis points.
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