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Gold prices gain as inflation concerns grow

  • Prolonged stagflation can push gold higher: analysts
  • US CPI, Fed minutes due on Wednesday
  • Dollar pulling at gold's heels: analyst
Published October 12, 2021

Gold prices on Tuesday were set for their highest one-day gain since late September, as rising inflation fears cut risk appetite and boosted demand for the safe-haven metal.

Spot gold rose 0.8% to $1,768.06 per ounce by 10:05 a.m. EDT, while US gold futures were up 0.7% to $1,768.30.

A global energy crunch has threatened the economic outlook and fanned inflation fears, driving some investors toward safe-haven assets.

"We see undertones of support coming from the general idea that inflationary pressures are going to be enough to hold gold up in the midst of an environment where we see the Federal Reserve slowly moving towards reducing asset purchases," said David Meger, director of metals trading at High Ridge Futures.

But overall, the dollar is pulling at the heels of the gold market and limiting its upside, Meger added.

Gold is traditionally seen as an inflation hedge. However, reduced central bank stimulus and interest rate hikes tend to push government bond yields up, translating into a higher opportunity cost for holding gold that pays no interest.

Gold dips after positive weekly jobs data lifts yields

"There's more risk aversion in the market and gold is benefiting from that, coupled with concerns about inflation and cooling of the global economy," Commerzbank analyst Daniel Briesemann said.

If stagflation talks come to the fore increasingly, gold could clock $1,900 by year end as interest rates should remain relatively low even if the Fed starts tapering, Briesemann added.

Focus is on minutes of the Fed's Sept. 21-22 policy meeting and the consumer price index, both due on Wednesday.

Spot silver rose 0.6% to $22.68 per ounce and platinum was 0.7% higher at $1,015.44.

Palladium, however, fell 1.6% to $2,077.82.

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