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Markets

Gold gains for third day as bond yields, dollar retreat

  • $1.9 trillion US COVID-19 bill wins final approval.
  • ECB signals faster bond buys in coming quarter.
  • Greater upside in other assets than in gold – analyst.
Published March 11, 2021

Gold prices gained for a third straight session on Thursday, hitting a one-week peak as softer inflation data in the United States pressured Treasury yields and the dollar index.

Spot gold was up 0.4% at $1,733.71 per ounce by 1314 GMT, after hitting its highest since March 3 at $1,739.63 earlier. US gold futures climbed 0.6% to $1,732.90.

"Real rates are falling again and the lower real rates are, the better it is for gold. The second element is the strength in dollar we have seen recently has ended again and this is also helping gold," said UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo.

US 10-year Treasury yields held near a one-week low, while the dollar fell as data showed US core consumer price growth slowed slightly in February.

While gold is considered a hedge against inflation from widespread stimulus, higher bond yields this year have threatened that status as they translate into a higher opportunity cost of holding bullion.

The $1.9 trillion US COVID-19 relief bill was finally approved on Wednesday and is expected to supercharge the economic recovery.

"At the moment it's (relief bill) helping gold due to higher inflation expectations but it could also mean that the US Federal Reserve starts to change its tone a little bit," said UBS's Staunovo, adding that a less dovish Fed could see gold prices remain under pressure.

The European Central Bank signalled faster money-printing and said it would use its 1.85 trillion Pandemic Emergency Purchase Programme more generously over the coming months to stop any unwarranted rise in debt financing costs.

Michael Langford, director at corporate advisory AirGuide said there was a greater upside in other assets like copper and small-cap equities than in gold in the short term.

Silver gained 0.5% to $26.30 an ounce. Palladium climbed 1.2% to $2,333.27, while platinum rose 1.5% to $1,220.68.

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