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Corn, soybeans retreat as USDA's modest supply cuts disappoint

  • USDA trims corn, soybean supply less than expected.
  • Renewed talk of Russian export curbs supports wheat.
Published December 11, 2020

CHICAGO: US corn and soybean futures turned lower on Thursday after the US Department of Agriculture (USDA) trimmed its soybean supply outlook by less than expected and left its corn stocks view unchanged in an monthly report.

Wheat futures pulled back from earlier highs on spillover pressure from retreating corn and soybeans, but the market clung to earlier gains amid signs of possible export curbs by top supplier Russia.

Grain and soybean futures had built in solid price premiums heading into USDA's December supply-and-demand report as analysts had expected the agency to cut corn and soybean supplies amid robust demand and dry weather in South American crop areas.

The agency made smaller-than-anticipated cuts to supplies of both commodities while expected demand increases disappointed traders.

"I'm not going to say the report was bearish. I just don't think it was necessarily bullish enough to inspire continued buying," said Joe Vaclavik, president of Standard Grain brokerage.

"The old saying is 'you've got to feed the bull.' It was not enough to feed the bull."

Brazil's CONAB cut its corn and soybean crop outlooks on Thursday, citing dry conditions. The USDA left its Brazilian crop forecasts unchanged.

Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) January soybeans were down 1-1/2 cents at $11.57 a bushel at 12:15 p.m. CST (1815 GMT), while March corn fell 1-3/4 cents to $4.22 a bushel.

CBOT March wheat was 8-1/4 cents higher at $5.91-1/2 a bushel after peaking at a 1-1/2 week high of $5.99-1/2.

Wheat prices drew support from renewed signs that Russia, the world's top wheat supplier, may curb exports. The country is considering imposing a grain export quota and wheat export tax for Feb. 15-June 30, following President Vladimir Putin's criticism of rising food prices, sources told Reuters.

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