Fed seen skipping October rate hike as job market cools
- US labor market is cooling, giving the Federal Reserve a strong incentive to delay additional interest rate hikes
Federal Reserve policymakers on Friday got more reason to wait before raising interest rates again, as government data showed the labor market is cooling more than expected.
US employers added just 29,000 jobs last month, the Labor Department reported, less than the 90,000 economists had expected. August payroll gains were revised downward. The unemployment rate ticked up to 4.2%, from 4.1%.
The Fed raised short-term borrowing costs by a quarter of a percentage point last month to help get inflation back on track to 2%. Policymakers signaled they will likely deliver another rate hike by year’s end if the Iran war and other shocks that have pushed up inflation persist, as long as the labor market holds up.
After the data Friday, interest-rate futures contracts were priced for less than a one-in-five chance of a rate hike at the Fed’s October meeting, down from more than one-in-four previously. Traders also eased bets on a December rate hike, though that’s still priced at a nearly 90% probability.
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