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World

IMF chief Georgieva warns of 'much worse outcome' if Middle East war drags into 2027

  • IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva said the continuation of the war meant that the global lender’s scenario calling for a minor slowdown of global growth
Published May 5, 2026 Updated May 5, 2026 01:41am
By

WASHINGTON: The head of International Monetary Fund on Monday warned that inflation was already picking up and the global economy could face a “much worse outcome” if the war in the Middle East drags into 2027 and oil prices hit around $125 per barrel.

IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva said the continuation of the war meant that the global lender’s scenario calling for a minor slowdown of global growth and a minor increase in prices was no longer possible.

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As a result, the IMF’s “adverse scenario” was already in effect, she said. Long-term inflation expectations remained anchored and financial conditions were not tightening, but that could change if the war continued, she told a conference hosted by the Milken Institute.

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