The Conference Board said on Tuesday its consumer confidence index jumped to a reading of 109.7 this month, the highest level since the onset of the pandemic in March 2020, from 90.4 in February.
The euro slipped 0.2% in London trading at $1.1774, nearing last week's four-and-a-half-month trough of $1.1762. On a monthly basis, it is down 2.3%, its biggest drop since July 2019.
In a nutshell, the US economy is much stronger and miles ahead in the immunization game compared to Europe's and Japan's, and this ultimately translates into the Fed normalizing policy years before the ECB or the BoJ.
"I don't think it matters. I think what matters is the outcomes we actually get," Barkin said.
The Fed's pledge not to raise rates or curb $120 billion in monthly bond purchases until the economy more clearly recovers "is quite explicit and outcome based," Barkin said.
It will take some time for economic activity and employment to return to levels that prevailed at the business cycle peak reached last February. We are committed to using our full range of tools to support the economy until the job is well and truly done.
The Fed now sees the US unemployment rate falling to 3.5%, roughly where it was before the pandemic, by the end of 2023.
The National Association of Realtors said on Monday that existing home sales dropped 6.6% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 6.22 million units last month.
Warmer temperatures, an acceleration in the pace of COVID-19 vaccinations and massive fiscal stimulus are expected to spur a sharp rebound in activity in March.
For all of 2020, road travel fell 13.2% to 2.83 trillion miles, the lowest yearly total since 2001. Travel on US roads fell 10.3% in December. In January, Americans logged 223.3 billion miles, with the biggest decline in the Northeast United States, where driving was down 16.2%.
Retail sales dropped by a seasonally adjusted 3.0% last month, the Commerce Department said on Tuesday. Data for January was revised up to show sales rebounding 7.6% instead of 5.3% as previously reported. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast retail dropping 0.5% in February.
With many households set to get another round of direct checks that are more than double what they received in January, we expect spending to receive another jolt in just a few months time.
The benchmark 10-year yield, which reached 1.642% on Friday, its highest level since February 2020, was last down 3 basis points at 1.6055%.
"What we expect is that there is not going to be any change at this point," said Kelly Ye, director of research at IndexIQ, a unit of New York Life Investment Management Holdings.