US oil may edge up to $72.95

SINGAPORE: US oil may edge up to a resistance at $72.95 per barrel, to complete a bounce from the Oct. 11 low of $70.51.

The bounce consists of three waves. The third wave labelled c is expected to travel to $72.95, the 38.2 percent retracement on the downtrend from $76.90 to $70.51, as suggested by a falling trendline.

A break above $72.95 may lead to a gain to $73.71. Another retracement on the uptrend from $64.43 to $76.90 indicates a similar target at $73.96, which will be valid only if oil could stand firm above $72.95.

The downtrend from $76.90 is expected to resume upon the completion of the bounce around $72.95. A break below $70.96 could cause a loss to $69.19.