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Markets

Euro under pressure in Asia ahead of ECB meet

Published January 22, 2015 Updated January 22, 2015 07:25am

imageTOKYO: The euro struggled against the dollar in Asia on Thursday as traders await a European Central Bank meeting where policymakers are widely expected to launch a huge bond-buying programme to kickstart the eurozone economy.

The single European currency fetched $1.1599 and 137.02 yen in Tokyo afternoon trade, compared with $1.1607 and 136.85 yen in New York late Wednesday.

The dollar rose to 118.13 yen from 117.90 yen after the Bank of Japan (BoJ) on Wednesday slashed its outlook on consumer prices, throwing a much-touted 2.0 percent inflation target into further doubt.

The BoJ's downgrade -- and high expectations for the new ECB measures -- come after the US Federal Reserve wound up its own asset-purchase scheme and eyes a mid-year interest rate hike, which is a plus for the dollar.

"The US is standing out even more as central banks continue to ease policy," said Junichi Ishikawa, market analyst at IG Markets Securities. "Conditions remain supportive for the dollar."

Speculation has reached fever pitch that ECB chief Mario Draghi will use his most powerful policy tool yet in the battle against deflation.

The expected programme of sovereign bond purchases, known as quantitative easing (QE), comes after eurozone prices fell in December for the first time in five years, stoking fears that the region is on the brink of a dangerous deflationary spiral.

The prospect of such a move has hit the euro, which last week fell below $1.1500 for the first time in more than 11 years before recovering slightly.

"The euro decision is kind of well telegraphed but euro-dollar does have more to go on the downside," Thomas Averill, a managing director in Sydney at Rochford Capital, told Bloomberg News.

"The eurozone economy seems pretty sluggish at the moment and needs QE."

On Thursday, the BoJ slashed its inflation outlook for the year from April 2015 partially because of plunging oil prices, while policymakers decided against fresh easing measures.

But the bank boosted its growth forecasts, saying the economy was rebounding, although analysts said the inflation downgrade was likely to boost speculation of further easing measures down the line.

The dollar was mixed against other Asia-Pacific currencies.

It edged up to 1,085.60 South Korean won from 1,083.30 won on Wednesday, and to 32.61 Thai baht from 32.57 baht.

The greenback slipped to Sg$1.3339 from Sg$1.3349, to 12,471.00 Indonesian rupiah from 12,493.00 rupiah, to Tw$31.43 from Tw$31.49, to 61.59 Indian rupees from 61.60 rupees, and to 44.39 Philippine pesos from 44.41 pesos.

The Australian dollar weakened to 80.63 US cents from 82.25 cents, while the Chinese yuan firmed to 19.02 yen from 18.91 yen.

Copyright AFP (Agence France-Presse), 2015

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