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Markets

Rouble moves lower as oil slumps to new five-year low

Published Updated

imageMOSCOW: The rouble extended losses on Wednesday afternoon as oil prices slid to a new five-year low after the OPEC oil producers' group cut its demand forecast for next year.

At 1530 GMT, the rouble was down around 1.1 percent against the dollar at 54.65 and down 1.6 percent against the euro at 67.92, hitting a new all-time low against the euro zone currency.

Global oil benchmark Brent was around 3 percent lower, below $65 a barrel, in late afternoon trading in Moscow.

"Oil is playing against the rouble, but on the other hand we are awaiting the central bank, which could unexpectedly 'give a thump on the head' with interventions," said Pyotr Neimyshev, a forex trader at Otkritie bank.

Oil and gas account for two-thirds of Russia's exports, so oil price swings have an important impact on the country's balance of payments and therefore the currency.

The rouble's latest fall was more restrained than in recent weeks, in part because the market expects the central bank to take decisive action to support the currency when it holds its next monetary policy meeting on Thursday.

A Reuters poll on Tuesday predicted that the bank would increase its main lending rate by one point to 10.5 percent on Thursday in a bid to help the rouble.

"The general feeling is that the CBR needs to come up with a sizeable package of policy measures in order to address excessive FX volatility," Maxim Korovin, a forex analyst at VTB Capital bank, said in a note.

The Russian central bank said on Wednesday it had conducted $400 million worth of forex interventions on Monday, adding to $4.53 billion in interventions last week, despite floating the currency a month ago.

The dollar-denominated RTS share index was down 0.4 percent to 854 points on Wednesday, while its rouble-based peer MICEX was 0.6 percent higher at 1,483 points.

Copyright Reuters, 2014

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