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imageSINGAPORE: Spot gold is expected to retest a support at $1,296 per ounce, with a good chance of breaking below this level and falling more to $1,280.40.

The support is at the 23.6 percent Fibonacci retracement on the fall from the July 10 high of $1,345 to the Aug. 1 low of $1,280.40, working as the last barrier towards $1,280.40.

Wave pattern shows that gold is riding on a downward wave C, the third wave of a three-wave cycle that developed from $1,345. This wave is capable of traveling to $1,258, its 100 percent Fibonacci projection level.

Resistance is at $1,307, the 23.6 percent projection level, a break above which may cause a further gain to $1,320, the 61.8 percent retracement.

The views expressed are his own.

No information in this analysis should be considered as being business, financial or legal advice.

Each reader should consult his or her own professional or other advisers for business, financial or legal advice regarding the products mentioned in the analyses.

Copyright Reuters, 2014

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