Indian rupee extends gains; US-Iran peace agreement details, Fed guidance awaited
- The rupee closed up 0.2% at 94.56 against the dollar
The Indian rupee strengthened for a third day, supported by easing U.S.-Iran tensions, softer oil prices, and foreign inflows, with further appreciation expected.
- U.S.-Iran peace agreement details and global oil price impact.
- U.S. Federal Reserve's policy decision and future rate guidance.
- Benefits of lower oil prices for India's economy.
MUMBAI: The Indian rupee rose for a third consecutive session on Tuesday as underlying sentiment remained supportive, while traders awaited details of the U.S.–Iran peace agreement and guidance from the U.S. Federal Reserve.
The rupee closed up 0.2% at 94.56 against the dollar. The local unit opened at 94.6125, and moved around 10 paisa on either side of Friday’s close during the session.
The rupee had hit an intraday high of 94.4950 before slipping, suggesting importer hedging interest around those levels, traders said.
“Supported by foreign inflows from the central bank measures and softer oil prices after end of war, the rupee is likely to appreciate toward 94 in the near term before consolidating near that level,” said Mandar Pitale, head of treasury at SBM Bank (India).
The rupee’s underlying bias has improved as the U.S.–Iran peace deal eased immediate energy supply concerns, though investors await the agreement’s details.
On Monday, U.S. President Donald Trump said Washington and Tehran had signed a preliminary agreement to halt the war, though a permanent truce is yet to be negotiated.
The arrangement would allow the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, a critical chokepoint through which roughly one-fifth of global oil and liquefied natural gas supplies pass.
Oil prices softened in response to the easing geopolitical risk premium, with the benchmark Brent crude slipping below $81.50 per barrel.
For India, the decline in oil prices is materially supportive as it is the world’s third-largest oil importer and consumer.
Lower oil prices would help reduce the country’s import bill, ease pressure on the current account deficit and lower dollar demand from oil-marketing companies.
Attention is also on the Fed’s policy decision, due after Indian markets close on Wednesday.
The Fed is widely expected to keep interest rates unchanged, but its updated guidance and commentary will be closely watched for clues on the U.S. central bank’s future rate moves.
Comments