TORONTO: The Canadian dollar weakened to a one-month low against its US counterpart on Friday, as the greenback posted broad gains and bond yields globally jumped on rising concerns about the inflation outlook.
The loonie was trading 0.1 percent lower at 1.3735 per US dollar, or 72.81 US cents, after touching its weakest intraday level since April 15 at 1.3767.
The currency was on track for its eighth straight daily decline, which would be the longest such streak since January. For the week, the loonie was down 0.4 percent.
“The big story this week is the surge in the US dollar,” said Marc Chandler, chief market strategist at Bannockburn Global Forex LLC. “We have seen the (US) economy reaccelerate, high price pressures and the market has shifted.”
The US dollar added to recent gains against a basket of major currencies as market expectations for the path of monetary policy from the Federal Reserve continued to shift towards possible rate hikes.
“Technically, the US dollar looks strong … I think there will be follow-through US dollar buying,” Chandler said, targeting 1.3810 in USD-CAD, which is a major retracement level and the 200-day moving average. The price of oil, one of Canada’s major exports, rose 3.9 percent to USD105.10 a barrel on reduced hopes of a deal to end ship attacks and seizures around the Strait of Hormuz.
The Bank of Canada has said that if oil prices stay high and begin to push up inflation, it might have to respond with consecutive interest rate hikes. Canada’s inflation report for April is due on Tuesday. Domestic data on Friday showed that housing starts rose more than expected in April, jumping 17 percent from the previous month, and factory sales were up 3 percent month-over-month in March.
Canadian bond yields rose along the curve, tracking moves in US Treasuries, in a shortened session ahead of Monday’s market holiday for Victoria Day. The 10-year was up 13 basis points at 3.700 percent, marking its highest level since May 2024.
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