BENGALURU: Gold prices dipped as the dollar rebounded on Thursday, after bullion hit two-week highs earlier in the session on Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s indications that a September interest rate cut might be considered. Spot gold was down 0.5% at $2,436.74 per ounce, as of 1141 GMT, having hit its highest since July 18 earlier in the session. Prices were just $47 shy of the record high of $2,483.60 scaled on July 17.
US gold futures firmed 0.3% to $2,481.00. Powell said on Wednesday rates could be cut as soon as September, putting the central bank near the end of a more than two-year battle against inflation. “Powell putting a possible rate cut in September on the table is supportive for gold. But on the other hand, you now have a slightly firmer US dollar and weaker euro, and that is a negative effect,” said Quantitative Commodity Research analyst Peter Fertig.
Market focus now shifts to Friday’s US payrolls report. If July job growth exceeds expectations, doubts may arise about a September Fed rate cut, Fertig added.
“A reminder to not be short gold near range lows, and cognizant that geopolitics is increasingly more supportive in the medium-long-term,” Nicky Shiels, head of metals strategy at MKS PAMP SA, wrote in a note.
Bullion, traditionally known for its stability as a favoured hedge against geopolitical and economic risks, thrives in a low-interest rate environment.
“Central bank gold demand should stay high in 2024/2025 despite the recent absence of ‘reported’ PBOC gold purchases in May and June,” analysts at Citi wrote in a note.
“But that seems unlikely to reverse a broader EM CB (emerging central bank) trend of increasing gold holdings due to de-dollarization, reserve diversification, and alt-fiat demand,” they added. Elsewhere, spot silver fell 0.4% to $28.91, platinum lost 0.6% to $970.52 and palladium edged up 0.2% to $927.07.
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