NEW YORK: US natural gas futures slid about 2% on Thursday as producers slowly increase output as power generators burn more gas to meet rising air conditioning use.
That price decline came despite forecasts for hotter weather and higher demand over the next two weeks than previously expected.
Front-month gas futures for July delivery on the New York Mercantile Exchange fell 6.9 cents, or 2.4%, to $2.840 per million British thermal units (mmBtu) at 9:05 a.m. EDT (1305 GMT).
Financial firm LSEG said gas output in the Lower 48 US states rose to an average of 98.2 billion cubic feet per day (bcfd) so far in June, up from a 25-month low of 98.1 bcfd in May. That compares with a monthly record high of 105.5 bcfd in December 2023. Analysts said the production increase so far in June was a sign drillers were slowly boosting output after a 47% jump in futures prices in April and May. Prices were also up about 10% so far in June. On a daily basis, output hit a 10-week high of 99.6 bcfd on June 17.
US energy company EQT, the nation’s biggest gas producer, said earlier in June that it started boosting output.
Overall, however, US gas production was still down around 8% so far in 2024 after several energy firms, including EQT and Chesapeake Energy, delayed well completions and cut drilling activities when prices fell in February and March.
Chesapeake is on track to become the biggest US gas producer after its planned merger with Southwestern Energy.
Meteorologists projected weather across the Lower 48 states would remain hotter than normal through at least July 5. LSEG forecast that heat would boost the amount of gas power generators in the Lower 48 burn to keep air conditioners humming, including exports, from 97.8 bcfd this week to 103.8 bcfd next week. Those forecasts were higher than LSEG’s outlook on Tuesday before the US Juneteenth holiday on Wednesday.
Gas flows to the seven big US LNG export plants rose to 13.0 bcfd so far in June, up from 12.9 bcfd in May.
But that remains well below the monthly record high of 14.7 bcfd in December 2023 due to ongoing plant and pipeline maintenance at several Louisiana facilities, including Cameron LNG, Cheniere Energy’s Sabine Pass, Venture Global’s Calcasieu Pass.
The US became the world’s biggest LNG supplier in 2023, ahead of recent leaders Australia and Qatar, as much higher global prices fed demand for more exports due in part to supply disruptions and sanctions linked to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.
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