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Markets

US natgas futures ease from 8-month high ahead of storage report

  • That price decline came despite a continued rise in liquefied natural gas (LNG) exports and forecasts for more hot weather.
  • US LNG exports were on track to rise in August for the first time in six months.
Published August 20, 2020

US natural gas futures on Thursday eased from an eight-month high as the market waits for a federal report expected to show a near-normal storage build last week.

That price decline came despite a continued rise in liquefied natural gas (LNG) exports and forecasts for more hot weather and air conditioning demand through early September than earlier expected.

Analysts said US utilities injected 43 billion cubic feet (bcf) of gas into storage in the week ended August 14. That compares with an increase of 56 bcf during the same week last year and a five-year (2015-19) average build of 44 bcf.

If correct, the increase would bring stockpiles to 3.375 trillion cubic feet (tcf), 15.1% above the five-year average of 2.933 tcf for this time of year.

Front-month gas futures fell 1.2 cents, or 0.5%, to $2.414 per million British thermal units at 8:15 a.m. EDT (1215 GMT). On Wednesday, the contract closed at its highest since Dec. 5.

Although US, European and Asian gas contracts mostly trade on their own fundamentals, a 56% jump in prices at the Netherlands Title Transfer Facility (TTF) in Europe and a 60% increase at the Japan-Korea Marker (JKM) in Asia so far in August made US LNG more attractive in global markets, which helped pull US gas futures up about 34% this month.

US LNG exports were on track to rise in August for the first time in six months. Pipeline gas flowing to the plants climbed to a three-month high of 4.4 billion cubic feet per day (bcfd) so far this month from a 21-month low of 3.3 bcfd in July. nL1N2F51D8]

With temperatures expected to remain hot through early September, Refinitiv projected US demand, including exports, will hold around 90.3 bcfd this week and next. That is higher than Refinitiv's forecast on Wednesday.

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