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Markets

Sugar prices slip as charts weaken, supply glut looms

Published January 11, 2018 Updated January 11, 2018 08:07pm

LONDON: Sugar futures on ICE fell to a three-week low on Thursday, under pressure from by weakening technicals and a looming global supply glut, partly fuelled by expectations for a record crop in Thailand.

SUGAR

March raw sugar was down 0.22 cent, or 1.5 percent, at 14.43 cents per lb by 1206 GMT, after hitting 14.38 cents, its weakest since Dec. 20.

Dealers said the technical structure had deteriorated and prices had fallen below key moving average levels, reinforcing the bearish chart signals.

They also said the bulk of the hotly-anticipated index fund buying had been done ahead of the official rebalancing period or post-settlement this week, making little impact on prices and souring speculative sentiment.

"The chatter about the index funds buying the market up has fallen away now," said one dealer. "So we're back to looking at it from other aspects. And technically, it's looking pretty dreadful."

Dealers said focus was also back on an expected global supply glut this season, with stronger-than-expected production in Thailand pressuring prices.

"As things progress, it looks as if (Thai production) is going to be better and better," the dealer said. "It's not good news obviously."

The country is expecting to produce a record output of sugarcane and refined sugar in 2017/18, boosted by favourable weather conditions, the government said.

Strong Thai production, coupled with a rebound in India's crop and a surge in EU output, has raised expectations for an even larger global surplus in 2017/18.

March white sugar was down $4.20, or 1.1 percent, at $383.40 a tonne, after touching its weakest since Dec. 21.

COCOA

March London cocoa fell 9 pounds, or 0.6 percent, to 1,395 pounds a tonne.

March New York cocoa fell $15 or 0.8 percent, to $1,926 a tonne, retreating from a one-month high hit on Wednesday.

Dealers noted ample global supplies, with port arrivals having picked up pace even further this week after a slowdown over the holiday break.

Ivory Coast cocoa grinders processed 85,000 tonnes of beans in the first two months of the 2017/18 season, up from 81,000 tonnes in the same period last season, data from exporters' association GEPEX showed.

COFFEE

March robusta coffee was down $10 or 0.6 percent, at $1,716 a tonne.

March arabica coffee was down 0.90 cents, or 0.7 percent, at $1.2305 per lb.

 

Copyright Reuters, 2018

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