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Print Print edition: 2011-03-04

Sterling plummets versus euro

Published Updated

Sterling fell sharply against the euro on Thursday as a weak UK services sector survey and hawkish comments from the European Central Bank raised the prospect of euro zone interest rates rising before UK rates. ECB President Jean-Claude Trichet said eurozone rates could rise next month - stunning markets which were expecting a rise late this year - and pledged "strong vigilance" on rising inflation, a phrase that in the past has signalled a forthcoming rate rise.
Expectations for an early UK rate rise in contrast were scaled back after a below-forecast purchasing managers' survey on the key UK services sector. The euro rose around 1 percent on the day to a high of 85.80 pence, leaving it on course for a test of the February high of 85.93 pence. A break of this would leave the 2011 high of 86.53 pence in sight.
Markets are currently pricing in a 25 basis point UK rate rise from 0.5 percent in June or July, with a further two hikes likely by the end of the year. Against the dollar, sterling was down 0.4 percent at $1.6259, having hit a session low of $1.6254, pulling away from a 13-month high of $1.6344 hit the previous day. The pound had rallied since the start of the year on growing speculation the central bank may soon tighten monetary policy to tame inflation pressures.

Copyright Reuters, 2011

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