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US Treasury market

US bond derivatives signal calm, but economic fundamentals could spur more sell-offs

US bond derivatives signal calm, but economic fundamentals could spur more sell-offs

Published 02 Mar, 2021 09:19pm
  • "The selloff may have run its course," said Jabaz Mathai, head of US rates strategy at Citi, pointing to inflation breakevens backing down.
  • "I would not say the bear market in Treasuries is over at this point, but there is the prospect of a near-term pullback," said Mathai. "You should see some stability in the 10-year around these levels."
US yields soften after vaulting to one-year highs; sentiment wary

US yields soften after vaulting to one-year highs; sentiment wary

Published 26 Feb, 2021 08:44pm
  • The benchmark 10-year US Treasury note's yield was down 5.2 basis points at 1.4633%. On Thursday it touched 1.614%, the highest in a year, rocking world markets.
  • Part of Friday's decline could also reflect dealers convincing clients to buy bonds after poor demand for a 7-year note auction on Thursday.
Inflation bets send yields up to new milestone

Inflation bets send yields up to new milestone

Published 25 Feb, 2021 08:58pm
  • The 10-year yield was up 6.9 basis points at 1.4578% and reached as high as 1.468%, the highest in a year.
  • "It's starting to become a momentum trade and the sell-off is becoming a global phenomenon," said Subadra Rajappa, head of US rates strategy at Societe Generale.
Longer-term yields climb, 30-year TIPS yield goes positive

Longer-term yields climb, 30-year TIPS yield goes positive

Published 19 Feb, 2021 09:10pm
  • The benchmark 10-year yield was last up 5.1 basis points at 1.338%, its highest level since Feb. 26, 2020.
  • The 30-year US Treasury yield reached a new one-year high of 2.135%. It was last 5.7 basis points higher at 2.1327%.
Yields rise after weak auction, as fiscal stimulus seen near

Yields rise after weak auction, as fiscal stimulus seen near

Published 12 Feb, 2021 09:11pm
  • The Treasury saw soft demand for $27 billion in 30-year bonds, its final sale of $126 billion in coupon-bearing supply this week.
  • Our base case view is for a $1 trillion package, but I think market expectations are gravitating towards something much larger.
Yields hold at lower levels as reflation trade loses steam

Yields hold at lower levels as reflation trade loses steam

Published 11 Feb, 2021 09:11pm
  • Yields dropped on Wednesday after data showed that the core consumer price index, which excludes the volatile food and energy components.
  • Lederer added that he does expect yields to rise later this year as COVID-19 vaccines are rolled out and the economy returns to more normal conditions.
Longer-term yields higher in volatile session after jobs report

Longer-term yields higher in volatile session after jobs report

Published 05 Feb, 2021 08:47pm
  • The benchmark 10-year yield was up 1.4 basis points at 1.1532% in morning trading after it reached as high as 1.188%, its highest since March 20, 2020.
  • US employment growth rebounded less than expected in January and job losses the prior month were deeper than initially thought.
Yield curve steepens on Washington spending plans, jobs data

Yield curve steepens on Washington spending plans, jobs data

Published 04 Feb, 2021 09:23pm
  • The benchmark 10-year yield was up 1.5 basis points in morning trading at 1.1461% and at one point reached 1.16%, its highest since Jan. 12.
  • Both factors pointed to improving economic growth, which makes ultra-safe Treasuries less attractive to investors.
After COVID shock, US Treasury market set for new scrutiny

After COVID shock, US Treasury market set for new scrutiny

Published 17 Dec, 2020 01:38am
  • A review of what went wrong and measures to boost the market's resilience could be among the first regulatory challenges for incoming Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen.
  • The deepest and most liquid market in the world, Treasury securities sit at the heart of the global financial system
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