NEW YORK: The dollar gained on Wednesday after hitting a two-week high following the latest hot US inflation reading, with markets focusing on the talks set to begin in Beijing between President Donald Trump and China’s President Xi Jinping.
The US Labor Department said the Producer Price Index for final demand surged 1.4 percent last month, the largest since March 2022 and well above the 0.5 percent estimate of economists polled by Reuters, after an upwardly revised 0.7 percent advance in March.
In the 12 months through April, the PPI jumped 6.0 percent, the largest increase since December 2022 and above the 4.9 percent forecast, after a revised 4.3 percent increase in March.
“That escalated quickly,” said Brian Jacobsen, chief economist at Annex Wealth Management in Menomonee Falls, Wisconsin.
“With a 15.6 percent increase in the index for gasoline, it’s not too surprising that transportation and distribution costs have shot higher. For now, the energy shock is more a threat to corporate margins than to consumer prices, but the longer prices stay elevated, the more it will bleed through to the consumer.”
The dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of currencies, rose 0.18 percent to 98.51 after hitting 98.601, its highest level since April 30, with the euro down 0.24 percent at USD1.1709. The strong producer prices reading comes a day after an annual reading of consumer prices posted its largest gain in three years. Markets have largely priced out any chance of a rate cut this year from the Federal Reserve, while expectations for a hike of at least 25 basis points at the central bank’s December meeting have climbed to 35.6 percent, according to CME FedWatch, up from 16.3 percent a week ago.
Should Fed Chair nominee Kevin Warsh succeed in ascending to the position after his confirmation wends its way through the Senate, interest rate projections released at June’s meeting could reveal to Trump and the world whether Warsh is as dovish about rates as the president might hope.
Trump and an entourage including Nvidia’s Jensen Huang and Elon Musk were greeted with a lavish welcome in Beijing on Wednesday as he prepared to ask Xi to “open up” to US business at the start of their two-day summit.
The Chinese yuan strengthened 0.03 percent against the greenback to 6.789 per dollar after hitting 6.7852, its strongest level since February 2023. Trump said he did not expect to need China’s help to end the war in Iran and ease Tehran’s grip on the Strait of Hormuz, in remarks made before he arrived in Beijing.
US crude advanced 1.26 percent to USD103.47 a barrel and Brent rose to USD108.02 per barrel, up 0.23 percent on the day, holding above the USD100 level as a fragile ceasefire between the US and Iran continued to hold, but the Strait of Hormuz remains effectively shuttered.
Trump said a ceasefire with Iran was “on life support” after Tehran rejected a US proposal to end the war, further dampening expectations that a peace deal could be reached.
The Japanese yen weakened 0.13 percent against the greenback to 157.83 per dollar. A sudden strengthening in the yen on Tuesday had stoked speculation of a “rate check” by authorities, which is often a precursor to a currency intervention.
Japan’s recent foreign exchange intervention may have kept the yen from sliding below the 160-per-dollar mark, but is unlikely to have a lasting effect, former Bank of Japan Governor Haruhiko Kuroda said.
Sterling weakened 0.18 percent to USD1.3512 as Keir Starmer faced his biggest challenge yet when his health minister was reported to be readying his resignation to try to trigger a contest to replace the British prime minister, who had sought some respite to set out his government’s agenda.
Comments