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ISLAMABAD: The government on Tuesday launched the Pakistan Climate Prosperity Plan (CPP), a multi-phase strategy designed to turn climate vulnerability into economic opportunity, with projected investments of up to USD1.6 trillion by 2050.

The Finance Division released the CPP, which cites World Bank projections warning that under current warming trajectories, Pakistan’s GDP could be 18-20 percent lower by 2050.

The plan seeks to align climate action with growth by accelerating renewable energy, climate-smart agriculture, resilient infrastructure, and green industry, while expanding access to finance for vulnerable communities.

READ MORE: Climate change in Pakistan: Experts call for modern, environmentally-sustainable methods

According the plan, it goes beyond a traditional roadmap, combining investment pipelines with technology access and policy alignment to deliver low-carbon and climate-resilient development.

The CPP rests on three core pillars: Green Economic Modelling (GEM-CPP) to integrate climate and socio-economic outcomes; initial value-adding projects to enhance export competitiveness; and special investment and risk-mitigation mechanisms designed to unlock new pools of capital.

The modelling component will guide policy targets, while flagship projects are expected to leverage regional and global trade opportunities. Dedicated financial structures aim to reduce transaction costs and de-risk private investment.

According to official estimates, Pakistan’s climate and development ambitions will require annual investments of around USD65 billion, broadly in line with targets under its Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs).

Cumulatively, investment flows are projected to reach USD565.7 billion by 2035, rising to USD1.6 trillion by mid-century. Authorities argue that such spending is essential to avoid mounting economic losses from climate shocks and to sustain long-term growth.

Implementation will be coordinated through a “country platform” led by the Ministry of Finance, in collaboration with climate, planning, and provincial authorities, alongside private sector and civil society stakeholders.

Key priorities include scaling up bankable projects, attracting early-stage capital, developing innovative financing instruments, strengthening institutions, and improving federal-provincial coordination.

An initial pipeline of 69 projects worth USD4.87 billion has been identified to kick-start execution.

The plan comes against the backdrop of intensifying climate risks. Recent floods, heatwaves, and droughts have inflicted heavy economic losses, disrupted agriculture and energy systems, and strained public finances.

CPP noted that without proactive adaptation, Pakistan risks a cycle of recurring shocks that could undermine fiscal stability and long-term development. World Bank projections cited in the document warn that GDP could be 18-20 percent lower by 2050 under current warming trajectories.

The CPP emphasises expanding renewable energy capacity, protecting agricultural land, restoring watersheds, and promoting circular economy initiatives. It also seeks to enhance food security and safeguard critical infrastructure.

By aligning climate goals with economic priorities, the government aims to unlock new investments, support exports, and create jobs, while reducing emissions and strengthening resilience.

CPP positions Pakistan among emerging climate-smart economies, with a focus on shared leadership and inclusive growth. However, successful execution will hinge on sustained policy continuity, investor confidence, and timely mobilisation of both domestic and international financing.

Copyright Business Recorder, 2026

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