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Markets

Brent crude climbs above $62 amid stronger Asian markets

Published December 22, 2014 Updated December 22, 2014 07:05am

imageSINGAPORE: Oil prices rose on Monday as Asian markets opened strongly into a holiday-shortened week and consensus spread that Brent crude futures would likely remain above $60 for the rest of the year.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan extended gains and was up 1.4 percent. Japan's Nikkei pared early gains but managed to eke out a 0.1 percent rise ahead of a Japanese public holiday on Tuesday, while Australian shares surged 1.9 percent.

Brent rose more than a dollar to a session high of $62.61 per barrel but gave up some gains to trade up 85 cents at $62.23 by 0645 GMT. US crude was up 69 cents at $57.82 a barrel.

Although analysts said prices would likely remain over $60 barrel for the rest of the year, they also said that further large price jumps were unlikely.

"Any oil relief rally is likely to be limited and short-lived, barring a major outage. We see too many headwinds that must be addressed," Morgan Stanley said on Monday in a report.

"An oversupplied market is likely to keep crude oil prices under pressure in the first half of 2015, while demand struggles to recover in Asia," ANZ said in a report, also on Monday.

Beyond fundamental drivers, Reuters analyst Wang Tao said that Brent prices could drop as low as $41.99 per barrel in the next three months before receiving support, based on technical indicators, and that prices would unlikely rise above $70.

"The rebound may not be strong enough to extend to $71.37, most likely it could end at a lower level," he said.

Analysts also said they expected relatively low price volatility for the remainder of the year as traders begin to wind down their 2014 positions.

Copyright Reuters, 2014

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