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Markets

Rouble edges lower before central bank rate decision

Published December 11, 2014 Updated December 11, 2014 01:08pm

imageMOSCOW: The rouble edged lower on Thursday, adding to the previous session's heavy losses, but market expectations for the Russian central bank to raise rates at its policy meeting later in the day kept losses in check.

At 0925 GMT, the rouble was around 0.2 percent weaker against the dollar at 54.96 and lost around 0.1 percent to trade at 68.28 versus the euro.

The rouble earlier touched all-time lows on the Moscow Exchange against both currencies. It has slumped almost 40 percent since June on falling oil prices, an economic slowdown and Western sanctions over the Ukraine crisis that have restricted Russian firms' access to international capital.

"The pressure to deliver bold policy action has increased significantly over the last two weeks, following the brisk decline in oil prices and consequent pressure on the currency," Maxim Korovin, a forex analyst at VTB Capital bank, said in a note.

A Reuters poll showed analysts saw the bank increasing its main lending rate by one point to 10.5 percent on Thursday to try to support the rouble.

Korovin said the bank could also introduce additional non-conventional measures to support the currency, including by increasing dollar liquidity.

Benchmark Brent crude oil ticked higher on Thursday but remained below $65 per barrel, not far from a five-year low hit in the previous session.

Oil and gas account for two-thirds of Russia's exports, so oil price swings have an important bearing on the country's balance of payments and the currency.

The dollar-denominated RTS index was down 0.3 percent to 852 points on Wednesday, while its rouble-based peer MICEX traded 0.1 percent higher at 1,487 points.

Copyright Reuters, 2014

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