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Markets

Oil slips below $102, near 14-month low, on ample supply

Published Updated

imageLONDON: Brent crude oil slipped below $102 a barrel on Thursday, near a 14-month low, on evidence of plentiful fuel supplies and Chinese economic data pointing to slowing demand.

The world's top two crude oil benchmarks have fallen by more than $10 a barrel since June on a build-up of supply in the Atlantic basin and diminishing worries over the risk that conflicts in the Middle East would hit oil production.

Global economic growth also appears to be faltering, fuelling concerns that a market surplus is likely to last for some time.

Libya has resumed exports from its largest port, helping push the country's oil output to its highest for months, while top exporter Saudi Arabia raised its output in July to 10 million barrels per day.

"Oil is doing what it should be doing based purely on fundamentals," said Abhishek Deshpande, lead oil analyst at French bank Natixis in London.

"I would not be surprised to see Brent touching $100 a barrel, or even slightly lower, for a brief period of time as market fundamentals are so weak right now."

Brent crude for October was down 50 cents at $101.78 a barrel by 0755 GMT. It touched $101.07 on Tuesday, its lowest since June 26, 2013.

U.S. crude was trading near its lowest since January at $93.15 a barrel, down 30 cents, after the front-month contract shifted to October on Wednesday.

A survey on China's factory activity showed that growth in the sector slowed to a three-month low in August, adding to concerns about economic softness that could depress oil use in the world's second-largest oil consumer.

"This is a figure which indicates that growth is likely to be reasonably moderate and any upside to current expectations about China will be possibly muted," said Ric Spooner, chief analyst at CMC Markets.

"It will be generally a negative for commodities."

The drop in Brent towards $100 has sparked talk that OPEC could consider cutting output, although delegates from the producer group have said higher seasonal demand in coming weeks was expected to support the market.

Prices would have to be lower over a sustained period before OPEC would cut output, Spooner said.

In the United States, a larger-than-expected drop in crude inventories last week buoyed West Texas Intermediate and helped the September contract gain $1.59 a barrel on its last day of trade.

Societe Generale analysts said in a note that the weekly statistics were moderately bearish for products and could drive U.S. refineries to start maintenance early.

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