BR100 Decreased By (-0.15%)
BR30 Decreased By (-0.74%)
KSE100 Decreased By (-0.41%)
KSE30 Decreased By (-0.67%)
BECO 5.80 Decreased By ▼ -0.23 (-3.81%)
BML 58.03 Increased By ▲ 5.28 (10.01%)
BOP 33.85 Decreased By ▼ -0.40 (-1.17%)
CNERGY 8.15 Decreased By ▼ -0.01 (-0.12%)
DCL 11.77 Decreased By ▼ -0.57 (-4.62%)
FCCL 53.35 Decreased By ▼ -0.54 (-1%)
FCSC 5.40 Increased By ▲ 0.18 (3.45%)
FFL 17.89 Decreased By ▼ -0.14 (-0.78%)
FNEL 1.31 Increased By ▲ 0.01 (0.77%)
HUMNL 11.06 Increased By ▲ 0.06 (0.55%)
KEL 8.05 Decreased By ▼ -0.06 (-0.74%)
KOSM 5.45 Increased By ▲ 0.07 (1.3%)
MLCF 87.19 Decreased By ▼ -0.86 (-0.98%)
NBP 184.60 Decreased By ▼ -1.88 (-1.01%)
PACE 11.62 Increased By ▲ 0.90 (8.4%)
PAEL 40.31 Increased By ▲ 0.37 (0.93%)
PIAHCLA 26.10 Decreased By ▼ -0.07 (-0.27%)
PIBTL 17.09 Decreased By ▼ -0.23 (-1.33%)
PPL 228.40 Decreased By ▼ -4.38 (-1.88%)
PRL 34.59 Decreased By ▼ -0.36 (-1.03%)
PTC 67.35 Decreased By ▼ -0.21 (-0.31%)
SEARL 91.00 Increased By ▲ 0.07 (0.08%)
SSGC 26.90 Decreased By ▼ -0.27 (-0.99%)
TELE 8.53 Decreased By ▼ -0.04 (-0.47%)
THCCL 66.14 Increased By ▲ 6.01 (10%)
TPLP 9.29 Increased By ▲ 0.53 (6.05%)
TREET 24.59 Increased By ▲ 0.05 (0.2%)
TRG 71.69 Decreased By ▼ -0.06 (-0.08%)
WAVES 10.98 Increased By ▲ 1.00 (10.02%)
WTL 1.28 Increased By ▲ 0.02 (1.59%)
Markets

Forint falls and Romanian CPI decline disappoints

Published November 12, 2018 Updated November 12, 2018 07:36pm

BUDAPEST: The forint eased slightly on Monday as dollar buying amid worries over Britain's talks to quit the European Union weighed on Central European currencies.

The forint traded at 321.75 against the euro at 1450 GMT, down 0.1 percent. Against the dollar it touched an 11-day low at 286.31.

Investors bought the greenback versus European currencies including the euro amid doubts that Britain will be able to secure a deal on quitting the EU next year.

Hungarian government bond yields extended last week's slow rise, which followed weeks of falls.

The 10-year yield, trading around 3.67 percent, has risen 13 basis points in the past three sessions, but was still 25 basis points below a peak one month ago.

The latest government debt agency figures dated Nov. 8 showed that the forint-denominated holding of foreigners reached a 3-year high over 4 trillion forints, after a steady rise since August.

Citigroup, in a note, introduced buying the dollar against the forint at 285.87, with a 295.7 target, as "a trade idea of the week".

It said Hungarian government bonds had attracted renewed interest due to "the false perception of a favourable EUR price action over the past weeks", and rising concerns that Central Europe's economic growth is slowing.

"We believe the biased inflow wave into HUF is not sustainable and the EURUSD weakness may be the trigger for a new USDHUF upside move," Citi said.

One or two big London names have bought the bonds as financing that is cheap, with the central bank (NBH) holding short-term interest rates at record lows, while keeping markets awash in money through its fx swaps, market participants said.

It has been a key issue that delayed financing from the European Union for projects pre-financed by the government has started to flow in, generating hopes for further strong inflows late this year, said Peter Virovacz, analyst of ING in Budapest.

"It is even possible, that after its recent strong bond sales, (the debt agency) AKK will shift to bond repurchases in December," he said.

Elsewhere in the region, the Romanian central bank (NBR) continued to pump money into interbank markets via its repo facility.

Its allocations through the tenders and hopes for a fast decline in inflation helped Romanian government bond yields fall 30-40 basis points in the past weeks.

Yields in the secondary market were mixed, after Romania's inflation fell to 4.3 percent in October from the region of 5 percent, but remained above expectations.

"We do not rule out a hike in the (NBR's 2.5 percent) policy rate at beginning of 2019," Erste analyst Eugen Sinca said in a note.

Copyright Reuters, 2018
 

 

 

 

Comments

Comments are closed for this article.