Gold prices recover from two-month low as dollar rally stalls
- Spot gold was up 0.5% at $4,132.66 per ounce
Gold prices edged higher as the dollar weakened, recovering from a two-month low, while investors consider potential US Federal Reserve rate hikes later this year.
- The dollar's influence on gold prices.
- Analyst outlook on gold's short-term performance.
- US Federal Reserve interest rate hike probabilities.
Gold prices edged higher on Thursday as the dollar eased from an 18-month peak, helping bullion recover from a two-month low, while traders weighed the prospect of another US Federal Reserve rate hike this year.
Spot gold was up 0.5% at $4,132.66 per ounce by 0140 GMT.
On Wednesday, bullion prices touched their lowest level since August 5 as a firmer dollar and higher US Treasury yields weighed on the market.
US gold futures for December delivery gained 0.4% to $4,157.60.
The pullback in the dollar boosted demand for greenback-priced gold, which becomes cheaper for buyers using other currencies.
“The short-term investment case for gold remains challenged. For now, it remains a seller’s market, and we would need to see a break above $4,275 to become more constructive on the near-term upside,” said Chris Weston, head of research, Pepperstone.
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“If markets begin treating rising long-end yields as a reflection of sovereign credit and fiscal risk rather than stronger economic fundamentals, gold could start to diverge positively from bond yields and the debasement trade could return with greater force.”
Fed policymakers were divided last month over the rationale for raising interest rates, with “some participants” seeing a hike as needed to keep the impact of energy and other price shocks at bay, but a more hawkish core viewing it as necessary to guard against emerging demand-driven inflation, minutes showed.
Traders see only an 18% chance of a rate hike later this month, but are pricing in an 80% likelihood of an increase in December, according to CME’s FedWatch tool.
Higher rates diminish the appeal of non-yielding gold.
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