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From tanks to jets: Pakistan’s $13bn defense deals set to supercharge economy

  • Defense deals could lead to 82% jump in Pakistan's foreign exchange reserves, read the report
Published January 13, 2026 Updated January 13, 2026 04:43pm

Pakistan’s growing $13 billion defense export pipeline could significantly strengthen the country’s external account position, accelerate investments and develop the tech sector, according to a KTrade Macro Research report released on Tuesday.

“Post the success of Bunyan-e-Marsoos, Pakistan has seen a massive boost to its diplomatic standing with geo-strategic deals and engagements,” read the report titled Defense deals could be the key economic driver over 2026-2030.

“A key outcome which is emerging from these engagements are the defense deals and defense agreements.”

JF-17 Thunder in focus as PAF chief, Indonesian defence minister discuss defence cooperation

The report noted that the total value of the deals, which it tracked, is already worth around $13 billion.

“This could have a significant impact on the overall economic numbers, since this could lead to 82% jump in our FX reserves and also help achieve the 2029 export target of $60 billion set under Uraan Pakistan.“

Moreover, this could also catalyze investments in supporting industries including component suppliers, avionics manufacturers, and training services, creating employment opportunities across the economy.

“Lastly, we think a strong defense tech industry will also have positive impact on the overall technology sector,” it added.

The report noted that Pakistan’s defense exports are not limited to military fighter jets but also span military tank (Al-Khalid tank), drones, armored vehicles, naval systems, and ammunition/small arms, reflecting a portfolio of military equipment of various use cases and capabilities, read the report.

“We think institutions such as the Pakistan Aeronautical Complex (PAC Kamra), Pakistan Ordinance Factor (POF Wah), Heavy Industries Taxila (HIT), and Karachi Shipyard & Engineering Works (KSEW) could be involved in these exports.

“Among these, the strongest interest seems to be for JF-17 Thunder, a 4.5 Gen fighter plane. Over the years several other nations such Iran, Sri Lanka, Zimbabwe, Algeria, Ethiopia, Argentina and Uzbekistan have also expressed interest in the planes,” it shared.

Several countries have shown interest in acquiring the celebrated JF-17 fighter jet, which bolstered its prestige after demonstrating its capabilities in the May 2025 war against India. The light combat aircraft is jointly developed by Pakistan and China and produced in Pakistan.

It is pertinent to mention that Pakistan and Saudi Arabia are in talks to convert about $2 billion of Saudi loans into a JF-17 fighter jet deal, deepening military cooperation months after the two nations signed a mutual defence pact last year.

Similarly, Pakistan also held detailed discussions with Bangladesh on the potential procurement of JF-17 fighter jets and Super Mushshak training aircrafts.

Pakistan has also secured a $4 billion weapons pact with the Libyan National Army.

On Tuesday, a high-level Indonesian defence delegation met the Pakistan Air Chief to discuss strategic aviation cooperation, including the JF-17 Thunder fighter jet.

The report noted that Pakistan’s defense export could benefits from a global increase in defense spending.

“We think there could be further potential from developing and selling drones, and more advanced missile systems.

“Africa could be another large market for Pakistan following the potential leads from Libya and Sudan. Nigeria, and other regions with conflicts such as Congo or Rwanda could also be potential customers for Pakistan’s defense equipment,” it said.

Comments

200 characters remaining
Maslam Jan 13, 2026 08:29pm
How about the fact that Most of the expensive parts are coming from China, only some body parts and assembling is done here
0 Reply
Zia Ullah Khan Jan 13, 2026 09:16pm
If the $ 13 billion orders are filled in next five years and assuming 50 % value addition by Pakistan per year export impact will be $1.7 B. Will improve Pakistan stature but can't improve reserves.
0 Reply
Fiaz Khan Jan 13, 2026 10:29pm
Alhamdulillah
0 Reply
Lal menon Jan 13, 2026 11:30pm
It will be a big mistake for Indonesia to go with deal..
0 Reply
Manzoor Wandar Jan 13, 2026 11:48pm
These defense deals can be real game changer for Pakistan economy.
0 Reply
Shoaib Jan 14, 2026 02:18am
We are making defense deals on the back of sluggish production w limited output & ofcourse we use it for our own repairs and upgrades. And seeing how this is marketed it appears to be another fraud
0 Reply
Aam Aadmi Jan 14, 2026 06:42am
May be. All this will be good if the living conditions of 250 million improve significantly and they are the final beneficiaries. Transparency in these defense deals under civilian scrutiny is a must.
0 Reply
Rizwan Jan 14, 2026 07:08am
So this money will go into governments pocket or the unaudited military budget?
0 Reply
Mahbub Jan 14, 2026 08:49am
I have fatty Liver
0 Reply
Alexis Jan 14, 2026 11:37am
@Lal menon, why? Please ask your Baji to convince the indonesian PM not to go for this deal.
0 Reply
Ali Jan 14, 2026 02:30pm
Wow boosting economy by fueling conflicts and civil wars with weapons in Africa & Middle East. That's something The West does, profiting over innocents blood. People only care about money here.
0 Reply
Tahir Mahmood Jan 14, 2026 06:02pm
Mashaallah mashaallah mashaallah mashaallah mashaallah Pak foaj zindabad Salute ????????????????????
0 Reply
Shabbir Karim Jan 14, 2026 06:29pm
Great!
0 Reply
Az_Iz Jan 14, 2026 06:58pm
The country has the potential and is seen as a reliable defense partner by other Muslim countries. It will be mutually beneficial.
0 Reply
Az_Iz Jan 14, 2026 07:42pm
It will be a feather in the cap for exports. It will help in diversification of exports, and expand the country's high tech footprint.
0 Reply
Az_Iz Jan 14, 2026 07:45pm
@Maslam, that will be a good starting point, and then build from there. As exports pickup, the country can move up the high tech manufacturing chain.
0 Reply
Ghazi shah Jan 14, 2026 07:54pm
@Rizwan, most probably the second option
0 Reply
M M Alam Jan 14, 2026 09:40pm
Profit margin is how much ? 20% max ? $13 billion x .02 = $260 million. Fifty percent goes to China. So $130 million. Not enough to supercharge.
0 Reply
Nam Jan 14, 2026 10:18pm
@Lal menon, yeah boo mistake they may end up shooting down French rafaels
0 Reply
Kaki Jan 15, 2026 02:20am
@Lal menon, Why u want them to buy Tejas? I don’t blame you bud
0 Reply
Syedzada Jan 15, 2026 03:06am
@Lal menon, In which sort of conditions ?? Are u dumb??
0 Reply
Ali RAZA Jan 15, 2026 11:10am
@Lal menon, why you are in pain
0 Reply
Ali RAZA Jan 15, 2026 11:11am
Why you are in pain
0 Reply
Sardar Ahmed Rao Jan 15, 2026 02:41pm
@Lal menon, ha ha ha yae dhoun sa Khan sae uth Raha hae. Shayed Dubai sae Tejas ka dhoun hae
0 Reply
Abdul Sattar Khan Jan 15, 2026 03:13pm
Excellent and good luck to Pakistan
0 Reply
Hassan Tariq Jan 15, 2026 05:10pm
@Ali, Pak army slogan is arms for peace. Means you can maintain peace only if you are powerfull, else you will be eaten
0 Reply
munir Jan 15, 2026 06:55pm
Alhamdulillah
0 Reply
Junaid Khattak Jan 17, 2026 12:15am
@Maslam, Incorrect statement. 58 % of aircraft including frame, body parts and soem avionics are being manufactured in Pakistan while 42% that includes modern avionics is being manufactured in China.
0 Reply
Junaid Khattak Jan 17, 2026 12:18am
@Lal menon, any good reason...or just can't digest the growing Pakistan Military capabilities and potentials
0 Reply
Izhar Jan 17, 2026 06:20pm
This is another achievement after 100 billion USD investment received in FDI by the efforts of SIFC.
0 Reply
Amir Jan 17, 2026 09:57pm
Will someone please explain how selling S 13 billion worth of fighter aircraft over a period of several years will supercharge the perpetually ailing economy of Pakistan.
0 Reply
Sameer Qadir Jan 19, 2026 01:16am
This doesn't resolve the problems at grassroots levels. Will not help the poor man's uplift or economy, but will boost overall growth
0 Reply