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Print Print edition: 2011-03-20

TSX hits one-week high

Published Updated

Toronto's main stock index climbed to a one-week high on Friday, as a Group of Seven intervention to weaken the soaring yen and a cease-fire declaration in Libya provided some investor optimism and helped lift mining issues. The materials sector, up 1.1 percent, led the gainers. Gold and base-metal miners advanced despite a pullback in copper prices.
Three of 10 main sectors end in positive territory Gold rose more than 1 percent as the United Nations' authorisation of a no-fly zone in Libya boosted bullion's status as a safe haven. Muammar Gaddafi's government said it was declaring a unilateral cease-fire in its offensive to crush Libya's revolt as Western warplanes prepared to enforce the no-fly zone.
Barrick Gold Corp jumped 2.3 percent to C$48.87, and Goldcorp gained 2.1 percent to C$46.76. Ivanhoe Mines surged 4 percent to C$25.84. "People are starting to realise that mid- to longer term (Japan) needs to rebuild so they're going to need lots of metal," said Laura Lau, senior portfolio manager at Sentry Select Capital Corp.
Meanwhile, Japan bought billions of US dollars to restrain the yen, with other Group of Seven central banks, including the Bank of Canada, also moving to calm markets made nervous by Japan's nuclear crisis. "The fact that the Japanese market rallied overnight and the fact that the situation there is somewhat under control, plus the cease-fire in Libya, that's all added to some optimism in the markets," said Elvis Picardo, an analyst and strategist at Global Securities in Vancouver.
The Toronto Stock Exchange's S&P/TSX composite index closed up 43.48 points, or 0.32 percent, at 13,789.63. Only three of the 10 main sectors finished higher, including financials, up 0.1 percent, and industrials, up 0.5 percent. The index ended the week 0.8 percent higher.
The TSX pulled back from a broader rally earlier in the day, with energy stocks turning negative in choppy trading as oil prices slipped. It reached as high as 13,875.70, its strongest level since March 10. "There are so many moving parts to the market here, but I think essentially it boils down to a justifiable reluctance to leave long positions over the weekend and that's mainly on the account of concerns about the ongoing nuclear situation in Japan," added Picardo, noting the energy sector has been exceptionally unsteady in recent weeks.
Also weighing on investor sentiment was China's move to raise its banks' required reserves again. "It hasn't had too much of an impact on commodities but on the margins that's certainly a negative for that sector ... It could be something that comes back to weigh on investors' minds in the weeks ahead," Picardo said. Lau said the index's ability to hold above the supporting 50-day moving average around 13,725 is a positive sign for markets, with resistance seen around last week's multi-year peak near 14,300.
"I think it's pretty well an oversold bounce. The market has been kind of shell-shocked with two very big 'black swan' events ... the short term uncertainty is higher than we've seen for a long time," she said. "Japan is still battling with the nuclear fallout issue and Libya, with the no-fly zone it looks like it's going to prolong the Libyan civil war." Among financials, insurers outperformed after a recent selloff tied to exposure to Japan. Manulife Financial gained 2.4 percent to C$16.82, while Sun Life Financial climbed 0.7 percent to C$30.47.

Copyright Reuters, 2011

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