Russia, Ukraine, Kazakhstan wheat exports and crop outlook

MOSCOW: The following are detailed results of a Reuters poll on the outlook for 2019/20 wheat exports and crops in the Black Sea region (in million tonnes).

To see the text of the poll:

The poll gave a 2019/20 wheat export forecast for Russia of 36.6 million tonnes, up 2% on the year, with the crop expected to rise by 9% to 78.5 million tonnes. In the 2018/19, the US Department of Agriculture (USDA) sees Russia's wheat exports at 36 million tonnes.

The poll suggests Ukraine's 2019/20 exports will rise by 18 percent to 19.1 million tonnes from the USDA's 16.2-million-tonne estimate for the previous season, while the 2019 crop is forecast at 28.2 million tonnes, up 13% year on year.

Kazakhstan, central Asia's largest grain producer, is expected to export 7.5 million tonnes of wheat, including flour, down 12% on the year, with a 2% fall in the crop to 13.7 million tonnes.

Forecasts for Russia exclude 900,000 tonnes of wheat which, according to an average estimate, the Crimean peninsula is expected to produce. Crimea exports some grain but its supplies are complicated by legal risks due to the annexation by Moscow in 2014.