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Markets

South African rand slips ahead of GDP data expected to show a decline

  • The rand traded at 16.0375 against ​the dollar , about 0.2% weaker than ​its close
Published Updated
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JOHANNESBURG: The South African rand weakened in early trade on Tuesday as investors ​awaited second-quarter gross domestic product (GDP) data, ‌which is expected to show the economy contracted.

At 0625 GMT, the rand traded at 16.0375 against ​the dollar , about 0.2% weaker than ​its close.

Statistics South Africa is due ⁠to release GDP figures at 0900 GMT, ​offering fresh clues on the health of ​Africa’s most industrialised economy.

Economists polled by Reuters forecast the economy contracted 0.1% quarter on quarter, after growing ​0.5% in the first quarter of ​2026. On an annual basis, growth is expected at ‌1.2%.

“Such ⁠an outcome would end six consecutive quarterly increases, but the headline may flatter underlying momentum,” ETM Analytics said in a note.

Nedbank ​economists forecast ​a contraction ⁠of 0.2%, citing weakness in mining, manufacturing, electricity, gas and water, ​and domestic trade.

Agriculture and parts ​of ⁠the services sector are expected to have continued supporting economic activity.

South Africa’s benchmark 2035 government ⁠bond ​also weakened in early ​deals, with the yield up 4 basis points to ​8.615%.

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