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ISLAMABAD: The Pakistan Textile Council (PTC) has expressed deep concern over a decline in merchandise exports by 3.83 percent in the first quarter of FY26, raising red flags for the country’s economic outlook.

According to the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS), total export proceeds stood at USD 7.61 billion during July–September, down from USD 7.91bn in the same period last year. September alone saw exports drop 11.71 percent year-on-year to USD 2.51bn, marking the fifth month of contraction in the last six.

This continued decline in exports comes at a time when Pakistan is also facing a widening trade deficit, which rose to USD 9.37bn in the first quarter, up from USD 7.05bn last year. Imports surged by 13.49 percent, compounding the pressure on external accounts. The textile sector – Pakistan’s largest export engine – is bearing the brunt of both subdued global demand and rising domestic costs.

Pakistan’s Q1 exports down, imports up YoY

Closures Underscore Cost: The PTC further stated that a series of industrial closures and multinational exits highlight the depth of Pakistan’s competitiveness crisis. Gul Ahmed Textile Mills Limited recently announced the closure of its export apparel segment, citing sustained losses from high input costs, shifting taxation, and stiff regional competition. The apparel segment is highly labour-intensive, employing thousands, and its closure is a stark warning of the pressures driving even market leaders to scale back.

The crisis is not confined to textiles. In recent months, global players such as Procter & Gamble, Microsoft, Shell, Total Energies, Pfizer, Sanofi, and Careem have either exited or significantly reduced operations in Pakistan. While some moves were part of global restructuring, the common denominator across industries has been policy unpredictability, uncompetitive energy prices, high taxation, and regulatory bottlenecks.

“These developments are a wake-up call. They are symptoms of deeper structural issues – Pakistan’s cost of doing business is simply becoming unbearable,” said PTC Chairman Fawad Anwar.

The PTC has repeatedly urged the government to take urgent corrective steps to restore competitiveness: (i) alignment of wage and labour policies with competitor economies to restore cost competitiveness; (ii) regionally competitive and predictable energy (RLNG & Electricity) pricing for export industries; (iii) tax reforms, including automated 72-hour refunds and zero-rating of input under the Export Facilitation Scheme; (iv) financing facilitation, including strengthening EXIM Bank and expanding Export Finance and Long-Term Financing Facilities (LTFF); (v) policy stability, monitored transparently with monthly KPIs.

“If urgent corrective measures are not taken, Pakistan risks further closures of export-oriented units and reduced foreign investment,” warned the PTC Chairman.

He was of the view that this would not only mean job losses and industrial shutdowns, but also a sharp decline in Pakistan’s foreign exchange earnings at a time when the country cannot afford such shocks.

The PTC Chairman emphasized that PTC’s proposals are not demands for subsidies but calls for a level playing field so that Pakistan’s industries can compete with regional peers such as Bangladesh, Vietnam, and India, where supportive policies and lower costs continue to attract investment and expand exports.

“The writing is on the wall. Unless the government recalibrates its approach on energy, taxation, and policy stability, Pakistan will see more closures in both the textile and non-textile sectors. The time to act is now,” he concluded.

Copyright Business Recorder, 2025

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