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Markets

Indian shares set to open lower on fading US rate cut hopes

Published April 12, 2024 Updated April 12, 2024 10:31am
Photo: Reuters
Photo: Reuters
By

BENGALURU: Indian shares are set to open lower on Friday as hot US inflation data eroded hopes of early Federal Reserve rate cuts, while focus turns to the domestic earnings season with Tata Consultancy Services set to report later in the day.

India’s GIFT Nifty was trading at 22,679 as of 8:22 a.m. IST, indicating that the Nifty 50 will open below its Wednesday’s record close of 22,753.80. Indian markets were closed for a holiday on Thursday.

Asian markets opened lower on Friday, extending their fall after hot US consumer price inflation data hurt expectations of early Fed rate cuts.

Markets, which had expected a rate cut in June, are now pricing in a pause in both June and July policy meetings, according to the CMEGroup’s FedWatch Tool.

India’s benchmarks logged all-time closing highs on Wednesday, with the S&P BSE Sensex settling above 75,000 levels for the first time.

IT stocks will be in focus, as the March quarter earnings kick off with the country’s top software services company, Tata Consultancy Services, due to report after the closing bell on Friday.

Results will be tepid for IT companies on weakness in client spending in the US, said VK Vijayakumar, chief investment strategist at Geojit Financial Services.

“The market response will depend on the management commentary.”

Analysts expect the earnings season to influence the market’s trajectory over the next few weeks.

India’s blue-chips set to open higher; US inflation in focus

Also due after the closing bell is India’s consumer price inflation data for March, which likely eased to a five-low of 4.91% in March but will stay above the central bank’s 4% m

edium-term target, according to economists polled by Reuters. The Nifty and Sensex have gained about 1% this week so far.

If gains hold, they will log a fourth straight weekly gain and eighth out of the last nine, driven by sustained domestic inflows and strong macroeconomic data.

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