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Markets

India demand worries, weak Japanese imports knock oil prices from six-week highs

  • Brent to average $64.17 in 2021-Reuters poll.
  • Japan's March oil imports fall 25.0 pct y/y – METI.
  • China's factory activity growth slows in April.
  • Japan's April manufacturing expands at fastest pace since 2018.
  • India infections top 18 million.
30 Apr 2021

NEW YORK: Oil prices fell from six-week highs on Friday, as investors unloaded positions after weak Japanese crude import data and on worries about fuel demand in India, where COVID-19 infections have soared.

US crude and global benchmark Brent were set for their biggest daily drops in about three weeks, but still on track for their fifth straight monthly gains. Fuel demand worldwide is mixed but consumption is rising in the United States and China.

Brent crude was $1.28, or 1.9% lower, at $67.28 a barrel by 10:48 a.m. EDT (1448 GMT), the last day of trading for the front-month June contract. US West Texas Intermediate crude for June was at $63.37 a barrel, down $1.64, or 2.5%.

"The tug of war between summer demand growth prospects and worsening COVID infections is still in full swing," JBC Energy analysts wrote on Friday.

India, the world's third largest oil consumer, is in deep crisis, with hospitals and morgues overwhelmed, as the number of COVID-19 cases topped 18 million on Thursday.

Japan's imports fell 25% in March from a year earlier to 2.34 million barrels per day, according to government figures. However, the country's factory activity expanded at the fastest pace since early 2018.

"There are still several major countries struggling mightily with the COVID-19 and of course there is a humanitarian crisis developing in India," said John Kilduff, partner at Again Capital. "These are two big sources of demand that are taking a hit."

OPEC oil output rose in April due to more supply from Iran, countering the cartel's pact with allies to reduce supply.

A Reuters survey forecast that Brent would average $64.17 in 2021, up from last month's consensus of $63.12 per barrel and the $62.3 average for the benchmark so far this year.