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Markets

Copper held down by China’s property woes and strong dollar

Published February 28, 2024 Updated February 28, 2024 04:37pm
Photo: Reuters
Photo: Reuters
By

LONDON: Copper prices resumed their downward path on Wednesday, weighed down by a stronger dollar and more bad news from China’s property sector, a major user of industrial metals.

Three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange was down 0.4% at $8,439 a metric ton by 1035 GMT. LME copper had edged higher on Tuesday after two days of losses.

Chinese developer Country Garden on Wednesday said that a liquidation petition has been filed against it, undermining Beijing’s efforts to restore confidence in a property sector that accounts for a quarter of China’s GDP.

“Some of the growth in China in recent years has been built on a shaky foundation and now they’re suffering the consequences,” said Ole Hansen, head of commodity strategy at Saxo Bank in Copenhagen.

“The government cannot afford an economic downturn, so the prospect for stimulus is still lurking in the background, but copper trading has become increasingly frustrating.”

Positioning data from exchanges showed that, on the whole, speculators were being caught out by the volatile market, he added.

Copper slips on firmer dollar, higher China inventories

“It’s highlighting that speculators continue to buy at highs and sell at the lows, not really getting it right,” Hansen said.

On the Shanghai Futures Exchange (SHFE), the most-traded April copper contract dipped 0.1% to 68,760 yuan ($9,551.06) a ton.

Copper inventories in SHFE warehouses more than doubled in a little more than two weeks to 181,323 tons, data showed on Friday. That is the highest level since last March, suggesting that Chinese demand has not made much of a recovery since the Lunar New Year holiday.

“The pace of consumption rebound after year-end is slightly slower than usual, but it will still be a month-on-month recovery,” broker Jinrui Futures said in a note.

The dollar index firmed as markets awaited global inflation data for clues on when central banks will start easing policy. A stronger U.S. currency makes dollar-priced metals more expensive for buyers using other currencies.

Among other metals, LME aluminium dipped 0.4% to $2,183 a ton, nickel fell 0.6% to $17,355, zinc shed 1.1% to $2,395, lead slipped by 0.4% to $2,082 and tin was little changed at $26,370.

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