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Markets Print edition: 2023-10-24

Copper prices hit 11-month low

Published Updated
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LONDON: Copper prices tumbled to 11-month lows on Monday as sentiment was hit by China’s property crisis, dwindling hopes of stronger stimulus measures in the world’s top consumer of industrial metals, and the conflict in the Middle East.

Benchmark copper on the London Metal Exchange (LME) traded 0.7% lower at $7,895 a metric ton in official rings. Prices of the metal used in the power and construction industries earlier touched $7,856, the lowest since Nov. 28.

Traders said that industrial metals were also taking their cue from China’s blue-chip stock index dropping to 4-1/2-year lows, and that higher copper inventories in warehouses monitored by the Shanghai Futures Exchange (ShFE) were also weighing on copper.

“Metals are under pressure for reasons which include China property and demand and what looks to be an escalation of the conflict in the Middle East,” a metals trader said.

Fears that the Israel-Hamas war could mushroom into a wider Middle East conflict rose on Sunday, with Washington warning of a significant risk to US interests in the region as ally Israel pounded Gaza and clashes intensified on its border with Lebanon. China’s economy growing at a faster-than-expected pace in the third quarter, and industrial activity surprising on the upside, suggested further measures to boost growth may be shelved.

Also undermining sentiment were rising copper stocks. In LME-registered warehouses they ended last week at a two-year peak, while those in warehouses monitored by the ShFE rose for the second week. Elsewhere, large holdings of lead warrants and cash contracts have fuelled worries about availability of the battery metal in the LME system.

This can be seen in the premium for the cash over the three-month lead contracts. Also weighing on industrial metals overall was the higher US currency, which when it rises makes dollar-priced metals more expensive for holders of other currencies.

Three-month aluminium was down 0.4% at $2,172 a ton, zinc fell 1.2% to $2,408.5, lead retreated 0.3% to $2,093, tin slipped 0.7% to $24,800 and nickel dropped 1.2% to $18,370.

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