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Wall Street closes lower as stimulus deadline nears without deal

  • The lack of news on stimulus is worrisome compounded by worsening virus trends and uncertainty ahead of the elections.
  • There's a decent case that regardless of who wins if stimulus doesn't happen before the election it'll happen afterward.
Published October 20, 2020

NEW YORK: Wall Street's main indexes closed lower on Monday as Washington lawmakers still appeared to struggle to reach an agreement on coronavirus stimulus ahead of a Tuesday deadline that would make a relief package possible ahead of the the Nov. 3 elections.

House Speaker Nancy Pelosi said Sunday that in order to push through an agreement before the election, it would have to be settled on by Tuesday.

On top of this investors were also worried about rising coronavirus cases in parts of the United States and about whether US President Donald Trump might end up contesting the election results.

"The lack of news on stimulus is worrisome compounded by worsening virus trends and uncertainty ahead of the elections," said Mona Mahajan, US Investment Strategist, Allianz Global Investors, New York.

Last week, the White House proposed a $1.8 trillion stimulus package that Pelosi rejected because it fell short of her demand for $2.2 trillion in aid.

"There's a decent case that regardless of who wins if stimulus doesn't happen before the election it'll happen afterward," said Mahajan but she added, "with (virus) cases rising again stimulus will be important."

As Wisconsin battled one of the worst coronavirus surges in the United States, a judge on Monday reinstated restrictions. In New Mexico, the governor warned that the state's healthcare resources might not be sufficient if cases keep rising at the current pace.

The number of new COVID-19 cases in the United States last week rose 13% to more than 393,000, approaching levels last seen during a summer peak, according to a Reuters analysis.

Unofficially, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 398.68 points, or 1.39%, to 28,207.63, the S&P 500 lost 56.44 points, or 1.62%, to 3,427.37 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 190.49 points, or 1.63%, to 11,481.07.

Wall Street's fear gauge was rising for a sixth straight session as election campaigns kicked into high gear.

Nearly 30 million Americans have cast early ballots, shattering records as voters adjust to the coronavirus pandemic, including in Florida, battleground state that on Monday opened polls to early voting.

President Donald Trump and his Democratic challenger Joe Biden will debate for a final time on Thursday.

The election is "weighing on investor sentiment a bit and maybe there's incremental concern there will be a contested election," according to Mahajan citing poll stabilization and betting odds reflecting higher expectations for a Trump win.

The Dow Jones Transport Average reversed course late in the afternoon after making gains earlier on Monday when the US Transportation Security Administration said it screened more than 1 million airline passengers on Sunday for the first time since mid-March.

After the financial sector set a mixed tone for the start of the third-quarter earnings season last week, investors will look to results from about 91 S&P 500 companies this week.

These include numbers due after market close from International Business Machines Corp, which was trading lower in the late afternoon session.

ConocoPhillips shares fell after it agreed to buy US shale oil producer Concho Resources Inc for $9.7 billion as the energy sector continued to consolidate.

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