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BR Research

PPL shines yet again

Published Updated

pplPakistan Petroleum Limited (PPL) is in pretty good shape. The company announced its full year FY11 financial results yesterday, which were much in line with consensus estimates of an increase of 35 percent in profitability and an interim dividend announcement of Rs2/share - yet the share price floated near the lower circuit breaker. Despite a dip in production flows of nine percent and 14 percent from major contributing fields such as Kandhkot and Sui, PPLs overall production flows improved slightly during the period. The gas production is believed to have increased by two percent year-on-year during FY11, whereas on the oil front, the production flows improved tremendously by 40 percent year-on-year. The increased production is mainly a result of the start up of the Manzalai CPF post-November, which triggered significant improvement in production flows from the Tal Block. Moreover, the start-up of Nashpa and Adam exploratory wells supplemented the firms production growth during the period. The field expenditures surpassed consensus estimates by a fair margin; cost overrun in few active fields could be a plausible reason. Higher volumes also played their part in augmenting the field expenditures, but the increased focus on seismic activities, also seems to have had an impact. Moreover, the declaration of a dry well and the consequent expensing of the cost at Jeherruck also played its part in swelling the exploration cost. Other income continued to provide strong support to the bottom-line as the company increased short-term investments in treasury bills and term deposits. The company also cites the higher interest rate scenario as a key reason for improved performance on this account. PPL seems to enjoy a healthy cash flow and the inter-corporate circular debt issue does not seem to hamper its liquidity a great deal. So the finance costs have not gone out of hand despite the receivables having mounted of late. With the drilling activities having started in Napsha and Makori, the oil and gas flow is likely to be strong going forward once the new fields commence production. PPL hardly seems to have put a foot wrong, so it should only be a matter of time before the share price offers sizeable gains, once it gets out of the ongoing bloodbath at the KSE.

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Pakistan Petroleum Limited
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(Rs mn)                     FY11      FY10    chg
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Sales                    78,252    59,962     31%
Field expenditure        21,364    18,273     17%
Gross profit             47,655    34,612     38%
Gross margin (%)             61%       58%      -
Other operating income    4,451     2,579     73%
Other expenses            3,592     2,568     40%
Finance cost                205       155     33%
PAT                      31,446    23,321     35%
EPS (Rs)                  26.31     19.52
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Source: KSE notice

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