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Markets

Dollar hit by bets on longer Fed stimulus

Published October 23, 2013 Updated October 23, 2013 01:26pm

imageLONDON: The dollar struggled near a nine-month low on Wednesday after weak payrolls data prompted investors to all but rule out a cut in U.S monetary stimulus before next year.

The dollar fell to as low as 79.137 against its basket of currencies, nearing this year's trough of 78.918 set in early February. It was last up 0.1 percent at 79.359.

It touched a two-year low versus the euro, pushing the single currency to a two-year peak against its trade-weighted basket. The euro's steep ascent could cause concerns among European policymakers.

The US currency also extended losses against the yen - generally used as a safe haven by investors in times of political and economic uncertainty - as a drop in regional shares dented sentiment in Asia.

Delayed data on Tuesday showed US employers added far fewer workers than expected in September, suggesting the economy may have lost some momentum even before the 16-day government shutdown in Washington.

"The weaker-than-expected payrolls report certainly supports investors' expectations that the Fed is likely to delay tapering quantitative easing into at least the first quarter of next year," said Lee Hardman, currency economist at BTMU.

"In the very near term the dollar is likely to remain on the defensive even if the data begins to improve. Now that the shutdown has ended, it is going to take time to have greater clarity on the trajectory of the US economy."

A majority of US primary dealers polled by Reuters now believe the Federal Reserve will not start cutting its $85 billion of monthly bond purchases until March.

Strategists pointed to the Fed's Oct. 29-30 policy meeting, which could indicate whether there has been any substantial change to Fed policymakers' views on the economy.

The dollar fell 0.9 percent against the yen to 97.32 yen , testing its 200-day moving average, now at about 97.27 yen, which was acting as near-term support.

The yen rose broadly, with the euro falling 1.1 percent to 133.78 yen from Tuesday's four-year high of 135.52.

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